NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	80		Excitement	8.2 [220]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +29.4%
Chicago Bulls	76		Comeback	4.3 [219]		LVP	George Hill (IND): -30.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.37,0.29,0.29	0.14	0.16	0.01	25	62%	0.34	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Lance Stephenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	5	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
David West	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	11	45%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31	-0.14	-0.20	-0.04	16	24%	-0.25	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	13	52%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.07
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	13	58%	0.16	4	-0.23	7	100%	0.07
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	9	47%	-0.03	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	-0.06	-0.24	0.00	15	46%	-0.18	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	30.2	15.5	27.4	2.4	36.1	139.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +1.6%

CHI -2.8%

IND +14.7%

IND +35.1%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.4	92.0	88.4	104.1
season	16.1	16.6		102.4	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.3	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	16.1	15.7	18.3	16.8
CHI	15.6	20.9	15.6	14.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	63	64	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.38	15	-11	26	16.7	17.2	-0.50	16.4	16.6	-0.20
George Hill	67	66	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.43	12	-8	20	17.1	15.6	1.50	15.5	19.9	-4.45
Roy Hibbert	63	62	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-7	18	17.0	16.2	0.88	15.7	18.5	-2.79
Lance Stephenson	68	68	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-7	18	16.6	17.6	-0.99	16.1	17.8	-1.70
Paul George	75	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	17.0	15.4	1.61	15.9	20.3	-4.34
Gerald Green	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	5	-6	16.9	16.8	0.12	20.2	16.0	4.20
Sam Young	20	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	11	-18	16.6	16.9	-0.20	18.0	16.1	1.94
Ian Mahinmi	24	24	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	11	-18	16.2	17.0	-0.88	18.5	15.7	2.79
D.J. Augustin	20	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	12	-20	15.6	17.1	-1.50	19.9	15.5	4.45
Tyler Hansbrough	24	22	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.01	-11	15	-26	17.2	16.7	0.50	16.6	16.4	0.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	37	34	0.46	-0.96	1.43	0.11	12	-16	28	17.1	16.0	1.14	17.5	16.4	1.14
Nazr Mohammed	13	12	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.12	6	-10	16	20.7	15.7	4.95	18.4	16.5	1.87
Jimmy Butler	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-11	18	17.1	15.6	1.54	18.1	14.9	3.26
Marco Belinelli	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	6	-16	17.2	15.7	1.51	16.0	17.6	-1.58
Nate Robinson	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.44	7	-11	18	17.2	15.8	1.35	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Kirk Hinrich	44	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	9	-22	15.6	17.5	-1.88	16.3	17.4	-1.11
Luol Deng	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	15.8	21.3	-5.49	16.8	16.8	-0.02
Joakim Noah	72	74	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.49	-13	9	-22	15.6	21.0	-5.39	16.5	18.5	-2.04
Carlos Boozer	50	54	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.51	-13	9	-22	16.2	16.9	-0.74	16.4	17.4	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.22,0.08,0	91.5%
OKC 99, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.24,0.09,0	91.2%
DET 90, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	91.1%