NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	7.6 [305]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +35.4%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	1.6 [439]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -11.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.08
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	17	59%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Tyrone Corbin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.06,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	14	50%	0.07	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	15	40%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.35	0.35	0.12	0.19	-0.04	26	68%	0.45	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.09
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	13	81%	0.19	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	90%	0.17	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	1.7	25.2	16.4	21.5	2.5	40.8	128.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +73.1%

DAL +7.9%

SAC -23.7%

SAC -8.1%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.2	103.0	110.5	101.7
season	13.8	14.8		102.9	104.2
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.6	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	16.1	12.6	14.3	13.9
DAL	14.1	15.2	15.1	19.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	49	48	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-6	9	13.1	14.8	-1.64	14.1	17.5	-3.39
Darrick Martin	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-8	13	16.8	13.1	3.69	18.8	14.8	4.02
Scot Pollard	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	16.5	13.1	3.41	19.7	14.4	5.29
Nick Anderson	55	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	0	-3	13.0	15.2	-2.22	14.1	17.8	-3.72
Corliss Williamson	69	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	6	-15	13.4	15.3	-1.89	14.9	17.8	-2.90
Peja Stojakovic	45	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-3	3	15.2	12.9	2.29	17.8	14.1	3.72
Tony Delk	39	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-3	3	15.4	13.0	2.37	18.3	14.1	4.18
Jason Williams	74	71	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	12.5	18.3	-5.79	14.6	19.2	-4.64
Vlade Divac	73	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-3	3	13.1	16.5	-3.41	14.4	19.7	-5.29
Tyrone Corbin	42	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	3	-9	15.5	12.8	2.69	17.2	14.8	2.46

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	91	95	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-3	9	15.5	22.5	-7.02	13.9	16.2	-2.40
Dirk Nowitzki	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-3	9	16.0	14.7	1.30	14.4	12.4	1.98
Michael Finley	92	96	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-2	7	15.7	17.0	-1.26	13.7	23.0	-9.33
Hubert Davis	51	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	0	3	16.8	14.6	2.26	15.0	12.8	2.22
Shawn Bradley	55	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	3	-3	15.1	16.6	-1.50	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Greg Buckner	29	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	3	-3	17.0	15.2	1.76	14.7	13.6	1.08
Erick Strickland	62	65	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	5	-7	15.4	16.5	-1.08	14.0	13.9	0.10
Damon Jones	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	3	-3	0.0	15.8	-15.78	0.0	14.1	-14.09
Sean Rooks	19	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	6	-9	14.7	16.0	-1.30	12.4	14.4	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.69,0.8,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.9,0.99,1	92.8%
POR 79, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.85,1	92.0%
PHX 91, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.91,1	91.8%