NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	6.9 [420]		MVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): +11.9%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.5 [880]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -15.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Michael Beasley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Shannon Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	10	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	13	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	15	40%	-0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.13	-0.03	-0.12	-0.02	20	45%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.04	0.03	13	81%	0.14	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	37%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.13,-0.19,-0.11,-0.17,-0.13,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	41%	0.04	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	9	36%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.6	30.3	15.7	25.2	2.4	38.3	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.4%

IND +9.0%

IND +20.6%

PHX -7.3%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.4	101.1	106.6	104.1
season	15.2	16.1		99.7	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.6	15.3	15.5	14.5	15.7
IND	13.7	16.0	21.3	14.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	26	23	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.21	-2	-4	2	16.0	15.6	0.42	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Jermaine O'Neal	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.07	1	-7	8	17.1	15.1	2.04	16.6	15.9	0.75
Michael Beasley	33	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-4	2	15.8	15.7	0.09	16.3	16.0	0.21
Kendall Marshall	15	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-3	0	16.0	15.6	0.36	14.7	16.4	-1.74
Shannon Brown	54	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-6	6	15.7	15.6	0.10	16.3	15.9	0.38
PJ Tucker	28	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	0	-6	16.0	15.6	0.38	14.7	16.8	-2.15
Sebastian Telfair	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-3	0	15.5	16.9	-1.45	16.2	15.7	0.48
Jared Dudley	65	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	0	-6	15.5	16.2	-0.64	16.4	15.5	0.90
Marcin Gortat	62	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	1	-8	15.1	17.1	-2.04	15.9	16.6	-0.75
Luis Scola	63	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.58	-2	-4	2	15.8	15.5	0.26	16.7	14.7	1.99

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	64	63	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-12	30	15.0	18.7	-3.62	14.6	18.4	-3.81
Lance Stephenson	70	70	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-8	22	15.7	17.6	-1.89	15.4	16.6	-1.16
George Hill	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	1	4	16.2	15.9	0.38	14.6	18.6	-3.96
Paul George	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	3	0	16.4	14.9	1.42	14.7	21.1	-6.36
David West	65	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	5	-4	16.5	15.1	1.46	14.6	18.4	-3.83
Tyler Hansbrough	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	1	4	15.1	16.5	-1.46	18.4	14.6	3.83
D.J. Augustin	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	16.5	16.0	0.48	18.6	14.6	3.96
Gerald Green	37	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	11	-16	16.0	16.2	-0.16	18.4	14.0	4.41
Ian Mahinmi	27	27	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	18	-30	18.7	15.0	3.62	18.4	14.6	3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.76,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.92,1	92.7%
IND 103, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.79,1,1,1	92.6%
CLE 100, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.78,0.89,0.92,1	92.3%