NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	8.2 [216]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +45.1%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	2.7 [297]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -12.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.45	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.45	0.12	0.33	0.00	18	65%	0.52	4	-0.07	12	100%	0.25
Kyrie Irving	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.23	0.17	0.07	0.01	23	61%	0.24	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	38%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0.4	0.40	0.06	0.35	0.01	12	68%	0.53	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.06
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.13	0.00	8	53%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	8	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	13	70%	0.18	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.15	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.04
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	29.9	15.0	26.0	1.8	37.8	135.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +93.6%

CLE -50.0%

UTA +32.2%

CLE -27.2%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.3	15.1	113.6	114.6	104.2
season	15.9	16.2		108.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		103.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	14.8	17.2	15.0	15.3
UTA	17.0	17.2	17.9	17.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	69	69	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-3	4	15.2	15.4	-0.19	17.9	15.0	2.85
Tristan Thompson	46	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-8	14	13.9	16.8	-2.85	17.2	17.4	-0.22
Mike Miller	38	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	2	-6	15.6	15.0	0.63	17.5	17.1	0.39
LeBron James	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-5	8	15.1	16.4	-1.25	17.6	14.7	2.90
Kyrie Irving	83	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-4	6	15.3	15.2	0.08	17.3	16.4	0.90
Shawn Marion	46	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.5	-0.39	16.3	18.3	-2.02
Dion Waiters	23	26	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	4	-10	15.3	15.3	-0.02	16.5	17.6	-1.13
Anderson Varejao	58	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	7	-16	16.5	12.9	3.65	16.9	17.9	-0.92

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	68	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-4	10	17.1	17.8	-0.66	15.3	15.0	0.29
Joe Ingles	22	24	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-3	8	15.8	17.7	-1.97	17.0	14.6	2.32
Trey Burke	40	42	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.49	3	-1	4	17.5	17.0	0.53	15.6	15.0	0.66
Derrick Favors	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-5	12	17.6	16.3	1.23	14.4	17.7	-3.22
Alec Burks	63	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	6	-10	17.6	16.4	1.23	14.4	17.6	-3.19
Dante Exum	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	1	0	17.8	16.7	1.08	15.4	15.1	0.32
Trevor Booker	39	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	4	-6	17.0	17.5	-0.46	15.3	15.2	0.09
Enes Kanter	50	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	0	2	17.5	17.0	0.46	15.5	14.9	0.62
Rudy Gobert	23	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	7	-12	16.3	17.6	-1.23	17.7	14.4	3.22
Rodney Hood	28	24	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.20	-3	5	-8	16.7	17.5	-0.79	14.2	15.7	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.78,0.89,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.91,1	92.3%
IND 103, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.79,1,1,1	91.9%
CHA 81, OKC 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	91.8%