NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	8.0 [240]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +44.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	1.1 [528]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -32.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.44	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.44	0.19	0.28	0.03	16	78%	0.60	4	-0.16	14	86%	0.07
Mickael Pietrus	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	52%	0.10	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.02	13	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	9	32%	-0.08	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.33	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.27,-0.33	-0.14	-0.18	0.01	12	37%	-0.21	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.32	0.32	-0.02	0.34	-0.01	7	43%	0.34	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	67%	0.16	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.03	-0.01	15	67%	0.25	4	-0.17	13	69%	-0.05
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	42%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.10
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	21	52%	0.08	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	5	40%	-0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.7	38.6	18.0	30.0	3.7	42.3	161.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +73.9%

ORL -30.4%

PHI +10.2%

ORL -9.2%

PHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.5	104.4	104.3	106.4
season	15.3	15.5		107.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.8		105.5	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.5	14.8	13.1	17.4	15.4
PHI	14.8	15.2	18.2	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	34	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-2	2	15.9	15.1	0.80	17.5	15.6	1.90
Tony Battie	8	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	18.4	15.1	3.25	17.8	16.0	1.76
Marcin Gortat	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	11.7	15.7	-4.01	17.6	16.1	1.45
Anthony Johnson	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	0	-2	16.8	15.1	1.71	17.9	15.8	2.13
Rashard Lewis	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-3	4	14.7	19.2	-4.50	15.8	18.3	-2.52
Rafer Alston	72	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-2	2	15.1	16.8	-1.71	15.8	17.9	-2.13
Courtney Lee	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-3	4	15.0	18.4	-3.36	15.9	18.2	-2.23
Dwight Howard	84	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-3	4	15.7	11.7	4.01	16.1	17.6	-1.45
Hedo Turkoglu	72	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.49	-7	5	-12	16.0	13.1	2.94	16.2	16.3	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	65	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-5	12	16.0	16.9	-0.94	16.0	13.8	2.20
Andre Miller	87	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	2	-2	16.5	11.2	5.32	15.6	12.8	2.76
Andre Iguodala	84	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	1	0	16.1	17.4	-1.26	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Lou Williams	46	48	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	-4	10	15.5	17.0	-1.46	15.9	14.8	1.13
Donyell Marshall	26	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	4	-6	16.8	16.0	0.86	13.3	16.4	-3.09
Willie Green	46	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	6	-10	17.0	15.5	1.46	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Royal Ivey	14	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	-1	4	15.2	16.4	-1.20	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Reggie Evans	9	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	-3	8	14.7	16.4	-1.73	13.6	15.6	-2.04
Theo Ratliff	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	5	-8	16.8	16.0	0.78	19.1	14.3	4.81
Samuel Dalembert	61	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	16.2	16.2	0.05	14.8	16.4	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.76,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.8,0.84,0.84,1,1	94.2%
CHA 81, OKC 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	93.0%
LAL 82, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,1	92.9%