NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	5.9 [629]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +18.3%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	3.3 [484]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -11.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	14	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	14	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	11	75%	0.25	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.05	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	24.5	15.4	23.2	1.8	32.2	123.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +57.1%

NJN -15.0%

NJN -0.9%

WAS +5.6%

WAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.2	100.0	109.7	101.7
season	15.5	15.5		102.1	101.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	15.0	17.3	14.8	15.4
WAS	14.0	15.0	18.7	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	18	19	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-14	19	14.3	15.6	-1.28	13.4	16.2	-2.74
Kerry Kittles	35	33	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-6	3	16.1	14.9	1.20	16.7	15.0	1.70
Elliot Perry	30	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	14.2	15.9	-1.77	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Johnny Newman	45	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-15	21	14.6	16.1	-1.48	14.3	16.9	-2.52
Scott Burrell	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-2	-5	14.6	15.8	-1.23	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Gheorghe Muresan	16	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-10	11	13.7	15.7	-1.95	17.5	15.2	2.22
Keith Van Horn	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	15.8	14.3	1.48	16.3	13.7	2.57
Lucious Harris	45	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-6	3	14.9	15.8	-0.84	15.9	15.3	0.59
Evan Eschmeyer	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	2	-13	15.9	14.3	1.56	15.8	15.2	0.61
Stephon Marbury	63	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	3	-15	15.9	14.2	1.77	15.7	15.4	0.35
Kendall Gill	49	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	8	-25	16.2	14.5	1.69	15.5	15.7	-0.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	35	36	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-7	23	15.7	15.6	0.13	15.7	15.1	0.63
Chris Whitney	78	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-2	13	15.5	16.1	-0.55	15.5	14.7	0.74
Juwan Howard	80	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-6	21	15.2	18.2	-3.06	15.5	14.2	1.34
Aaron Williams	49	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	3	3	14.4	16.9	-2.52	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Richard Hamilton	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	5	-1	14.6	16.9	-2.29	14.9	15.9	-0.94
Gerard King	54	55	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	8	-7	17.3	13.2	4.13	15.7	14.8	0.89
Mitch Richmond	57	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	6	-3	16.6	13.9	2.70	15.6	15.0	0.54
Laron Profit	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.3	15.6	-0.28	9.5	15.5	-5.99
Don Reid	30	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	7	-5	13.9	16.4	-2.46	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Jahidi White	28	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	18	-27	17.3	14.9	2.41	15.4	15.4	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	94.1%
ATL 94, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
UTA 99, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%