NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	6.4 [569]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +29.3%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	4.6 [775]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	5	92%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	18	48%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew White III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Dorsey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.03	0.07	11	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Taylor	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Dennis Schroder	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	17	44%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.08

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.19	0.10	0.00	18	69%	0.31	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.18	0.03	0.11	17	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	8	63%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	0.8	30.8	14.6	25.6	2.3	23.6	119.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +21.7%

GSW +17.5%

ATL -1.6%

GSW +11.7%

GSW +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	GSW	NBA	ATL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.7	96.9	111.6	107.5
season	14.6	13.7		104.2	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.4		105.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	12.7	15.9	16.4	14.7
GSW	13.8	15.0	13.4	19.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damion Lee	61	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-8	4	14.9	14.4	0.50	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Dewayne Dedmon	58	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.04	-5	-7	2	15.6	13.4	2.21	16.1	14.0	2.10
Isaiah Taylor	41	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-12	12	13.8	15.4	-1.61	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Taurean Prince	64	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-6	0	14.8	14.6	0.24	15.8	14.2	1.65
Tyler Cavanaugh	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-7	2	14.6	14.7	-0.10	12.9	15.7	-2.75
Tyler Dorsey	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-8	4	14.9	14.6	0.34	15.7	14.9	0.85
John Collins	66	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.0	14.2	0.79	14.6	16.4	-1.82
Dennis Schroder	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	0	-12	15.4	13.8	1.61	15.3	15.2	0.07
Mike Muscala	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-6	0	13.5	16.4	-2.83	15.7	14.6	1.12
Andrew White III	20	17	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	13.5	15.1	-1.55	13.4	15.7	-2.34

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	58	59	0.72	-0.22	0.93	-0.02	25	-13	38	14.3	16.8	-2.56	14.4	15.3	-0.96
Quinn Cook	63	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	2	8	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Kevon Looney	47	48	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	6	0	15.6	15.0	0.64	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Nick Young	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-1	14	15.8	14.7	1.03	15.6	13.8	1.87
JaVale McGee	18	20	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	5	2	12.3	16.0	-3.70	13.9	14.9	-1.05
Jordan Bell	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	-2	16	15.8	14.6	1.13	15.0	14.4	0.56
Stephen Curry	52	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	3	6	13.7	17.2	-3.58	15.0	14.4	0.59
Zaza Pachulia	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	8	-4	14.4	15.7	-1.32	16.0	14.2	1.82
Shaun Livingston	34	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	17	-22	15.9	14.9	0.99	14.0	15.1	-1.10
David West	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	22	-32	17.2	14.5	2.72	15.9	14.3	1.55
Patrick McCaw	42	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.14	-13	25	-38	16.8	14.1	2.71	14.8	14.7	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 94, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.98,0.96,0.95,1	93.4%
BOS 100, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%