NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	6.4 [521]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +28.8%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	2.6 [238]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -15.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.03	0.05	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	9	39%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	16	53%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.19	0.10	0.00	17	74%	0.37	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	10	45%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	11	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	8	40%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	20	54%	0.02	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	12	33%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	28.3	15.8	24.3	2.7	29.2	125.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +9.5%

NYK +15.3%

NYK +18.7%

NYK +7.4%

UTA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	12.6	15.5	95.2	103.9	106.4
season	15.3	13.8		107.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	14.0	18.0	13.8	15.2
NYK	11.8	11.8	12.7	14.5	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-9	10	15.2	15.1	0.13	12.1	13.0	-0.88
CJ Miles	33	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-4	0	16.2	14.7	1.52	12.8	12.5	0.31
Carlos Boozer	70	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-12	16	14.6	16.4	-1.75	13.1	11.6	1.53
Brevin Knight	54	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-9	10	13.9	16.6	-2.71	13.0	12.2	0.82
Kyle Korver	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	16.3	14.7	1.57	12.3	12.8	-0.49
Ronnie Price	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	1	-10	16.6	13.9	2.71	12.2	13.0	-0.82
Ronnie Brewer	79	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	0	-8	15.1	15.3	-0.19	12.6	12.9	-0.32
Andrei Kirilenko	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-4	0	14.7	16.2	-1.52	12.5	12.8	-0.31
Mehmet Okur	91	90	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	8	-24	15.3	14.5	0.73	12.7	12.4	0.29

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	68	67	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-9	26	12.8	12.3	0.45	15.4	14.8	0.52
Zach Randolph	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-5	18	12.8	12.3	0.55	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Jamal Crawford	83	85	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	0	8	12.7	12.4	0.24	15.2	15.3	-0.11
David Lee	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	7	-6	12.8	12.4	0.39	14.8	15.9	-1.18
Nate Robinson	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	7	-6	12.0	13.3	-1.27	15.6	14.7	0.87
Wilson Chandler	67	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	6	-4	12.3	13.2	-0.89	15.7	14.1	1.67
Chris Duhon	81	83	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	11	-14	13.2	10.7	2.49	14.7	17.0	-2.23
Anthony Roberson	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	10.7	12.8	-2.15	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Mardy Collins	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	12.2	12.7	-0.47	15.7	15.1	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,0.98,1	94.3%
NJN 93, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.9%
MIN 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%