NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	6.8 [482]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +23.2%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	3.6 [162]		LVP	Paul Zipser (CHI): -16.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.05	-0.03	20	48%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
JR Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	20	55%	0.12	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.07
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.22	0.05	0.04	14	87%	0.29	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	17	62%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	9	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Jerian Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	42%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	13	23%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	3.5	28.4	17.7	26.3	3.3	35.3	136.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.4%

CLE -1.3%

CHI +23.2%

CHI +9.9%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	14.8	98.9	104.2	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		113.5	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	13.9	15.4	15.7	14.8
CHI	16.4	14.9	15.3	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Liggins	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	5.0	15.0	-9.97	6.0	15.9	-9.92
Kay Felder	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	5.0	15.0	-9.97	6.0	15.9	-9.92
Deron Williams	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-4	2	14.6	14.8	-0.26	17.1	15.0	2.03
Channing Frye	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-10	14	14.0	15.8	-1.82	16.2	15.0	1.17
Iman Shumpert	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	15.1	14.5	0.57	16.9	14.9	2.00
JR Smith	76	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	15.1	13.4	1.69	15.4	17.1	-1.72
LeBron James	77	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-3	0	15.0	13.6	1.42	15.9	14.9	1.02
Kevin Love	39	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	6	-18	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.8	15.6	0.21
Tristan Thompson	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	14.6	15.3	-0.68	15.0	18.0	-2.96
Kyrie Irving	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	2	-10	15.1	13.6	1.47	15.4	16.7	-1.31

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-7	20	14.9	19.0	-4.11	14.9	14.0	0.95
Robin Lopez	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	1	4	15.0	18.0	-2.96	14.5	15.6	-1.13
Rajon Rondo	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	1	4	15.0	18.0	-2.96	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Denzel Valentine	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	7	-8	16.1	15.0	1.14	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Jerian Grant	5	6	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-3	12	15.8	15.7	0.09	15.7	14.7	0.97
Jimmy Butler	77	74	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	4	-2	15.9	14.8	1.09	15.0	13.8	1.15
Michael Carter-Williams	23	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	5	-4	18.0	15.0	2.96	15.3	14.6	0.68
Joffrey Lauvergne	14	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	7	-8	18.9	15.2	3.68	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Paul Zipser	46	47	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	4	-2	14.8	16.6	-1.72	14.4	15.1	-0.79
Bobby Portis	28	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	11	-16	18.2	14.7	3.54	15.1	14.6	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.3%
DET 82, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
NYK 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%