NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	5.0 [801]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +13.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.1 [1165]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -19.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	17	49%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	22	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	28%	-0.10	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	20	34%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.04
Aaron McKie	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	7	0%	-0.06	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	8	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	0.00	28	63%	0.20	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	73%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	42%	-0.07	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	38%	-0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	3.3	29.5	20.6	28.4	2.4	27.2	134.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +62.7%

PHI -10.6%

LAL +1.3%

PHI -6.4%

LAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	15.2	96.7	108.7	101.7
season	15.0	15.3		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		98.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	13.8	16.7	18.5	16.2
LAL	15.3	13.3	17.6	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	14.2	16.4	-2.22	15.3	15.2	0.11
Kevin Ollie	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	14.2	16.4	-2.22	15.3	15.2	0.11
Todd MacCulloch	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	15.7	16.3	-0.57	13.4	15.4	-1.95
Jumaine Jones	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-9	6	15.5	16.4	-0.88	13.6	15.5	-1.95
Tyrone Hill	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-2	-8	15.2	17.5	-2.33	13.7	17.1	-3.44
Theo Ratliff	39	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	17.7	15.1	2.58	16.8	13.9	2.89
Toni Kukoc	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-7	2	15.9	17.6	-1.68	15.6	13.6	2.01
Eric Snow	73	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	16.3	16.0	0.30	15.5	14.1	1.36
Matt Geiger	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	16.4	15.6	0.86	15.4	14.5	0.91
Allen Iverson	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	4	-20	16.5	15.6	0.85	15.7	13.8	1.87
Aaron McKie	43	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	16.8	15.7	1.08	14.2	16.1	-1.96

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	52	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-2	16	14.7	15.9	-1.23	15.7	16.8	-1.13
Ron Harper	54	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	4	4	15.8	14.4	1.46	16.6	15.7	0.91
Shaquille O'Neal	79	79	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	2	8	15.5	13.3	2.24	16.3	15.7	0.57
Kobe Bryant	72	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	5	2	15.2	15.3	-0.09	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Derek Fisher	28	26	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	5	2	14.8	15.4	-0.58	16.1	16.3	-0.18
A.C. Green	41	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	5	2	16.3	14.3	2.01	17.0	15.6	1.35
Robert Horry	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	2	8	14.1	16.4	-2.38	16.3	16.2	0.11
Travis Knight	12	11	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	8	-4	14.3	15.4	-1.03	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Brian Shaw	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	11	-10	14.5	15.6	-1.17	16.1	16.3	-0.16
Glen Rice	39	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	13	-14	16.1	14.6	1.43	17.1	15.6	1.51
Devean George	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	14.2	15.3	-1.09	9.0	16.6	-7.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 81, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 82, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%