inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 81 Excitement4.4 [973] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +13.2%
Chicago Bulls 97 Comeback1.2 [951] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -11.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00762%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Glen Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02836%-0.0100.006100%0.04
Nenad Krstic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.02275%0.021-0.044100%0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.02-0.02945%0.021-0.034100%0.02
Delonte West-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02764%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011030%-0.0500.00333%-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.02542%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Ray Allen-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.021130%-0.0700.001100%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.040.031354%0.034-0.142100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.060.031861%0.151-0.022100%0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.010.041671%0.153-0.0410100%0.04
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.020.023100%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00560%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Omer Asik00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.04736%0.021-0.0300%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.011640%-0.042-0.03367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.83.528.418.726.23.432.5138.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +43.3%
BOS -6.2%
CHI +4.7%
CHI +7.6%
CHI +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHINBABOSCHINBA
this game17.016.115.592.0112.8105.7
season15.715.7104.8106.5
opponent15.915.899.299.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.417.516.416.817.0
CHI15.216.814.218.316.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic55-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-141214.417.2-2.7714.816.2-1.36
Troy Murphy55-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-141214.417.2-2.7714.816.2-1.36
Delonte West3331-0.06-0.440.390.12-6-10417.516.70.8516.815.71.18
Ray Allen6968-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-161616.817.7-0.8617.112.44.67
Jermaine O'Neal3129-0.13-0.370.240.07-7-9216.917.1-0.1217.615.32.22
Kevin Garnett5756-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-4-12816.418.2-1.7816.715.01.71
Nenad Krstic3130-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-12-4-818.216.41.7815.016.7-1.71
Jeff Green3937-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-4-818.016.21.7815.116.8-1.66
Glen Davis5252-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.16-7-9217.316.60.7215.417.1-1.76
Paul Pierce5959-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.08-14-2-1216.518.0-1.4215.916.4-0.42
Rajon Rondo5958-0.500.00-0.50-0.09-14-2-1217.017.1-0.1415.417.5-2.16

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Rose71740.58-0.080.67-0.1224-83215.618.3-2.7317.017.1-0.07
Luol Deng65680.53-0.030.560.061601616.315.50.7416.718.2-1.54
Carlos Boozer64670.480.010.470.051511415.517.8-2.2716.817.8-0.99
Kurt Thomas33330.450.050.400.011511415.916.2-0.2817.916.51.44
Ronnie Brewer30300.280.220.07-0.01106415.216.6-1.3518.816.12.71
Joakim Noah42440.130.37-0.230.02412-816.016.1-0.1116.317.7-1.43
Keith Bogans33350.130.37-0.240.01412-815.516.5-0.9716.217.5-1.30
Kyle Korver42420.060.44-0.380.03115-1416.915.31.6117.216.90.30
Taj Gibson24230.020.48-0.47-0.04214-1217.315.61.6817.316.90.46
Rasual Butler210.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1416.016.1-0.088.017.1-9.11
CJ Watson1514-0.080.58-0.670.15-824-3218.315.62.7317.117.00.07
Omer Asik99-0.080.58-0.670.03-420-2417.915.92.0218.116.91.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 88, LAL 1000.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.4%
DEN 92, SAS 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%
NYK 108, SAC 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.3%