NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	5.1 [767]		MVP	Johnny Newman (DEN): +2.2%
Denver Nuggets	92		Comeback	1.6 [96]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -12.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	48%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	3	87%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	14	57%	-0.01	4	-0.07	14	71%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	7	55%	0.02	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.03
Walt Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	11	27%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.05	19	62%	0.10	5	-0.08	15	93%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	53%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	12	32%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	24.3	15.4	30.2	2.7	38.3	137.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.5%

DEN +14.6%

POR -12.6%

DEN +20.8%

POR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	15.6	89.1	98.9	102.5
season	15.9	16.2		101.9	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.5	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	16.6	15.5	11.6	14.7
DEN	16.0	16.9	15.8	17.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	65	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-18	26	14.1	15.9	-1.75	17.0	15.1	1.91
Stacey Augmon	22	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-11	12	14.2	14.8	-0.56	17.0	16.3	0.73
Isaiah Rider	71	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-16	22	14.3	15.8	-1.44	16.0	17.9	-1.82
Jermaine O'Neal	7	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-4	-2	12.0	14.9	-2.87	12.7	16.8	-4.07
Gary Grant	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-5	0	15.5	14.3	1.22	18.7	15.5	3.16
Rick Brunson	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	14.1	16.3	-2.27	14.9	21.1	-6.21
Brian Grant	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	16.0	11.0	5.01	17.5	13.9	3.59
Rasheed Wallace	79	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.13	-10	0	-10	14.4	16.5	-2.11	16.2	18.2	-1.94
Kelvin Cato	28	27	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	7	-24	16.1	14.0	2.04	14.6	17.3	-2.70
Walt Williams	25	26	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	6	-22	14.4	14.7	-0.35	19.1	15.5	3.61

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	55	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	0	10	16.1	17.0	-0.94	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Cory Alexander	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	2	6	14.8	20.6	-5.75	14.0	16.1	-2.12
LaPhonso Ellis	80	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	15.7	20.9	-5.17	14.7	14.5	0.14
Tony Battie	23	24	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-1	12	18.0	16.0	2.09	16.5	14.0	2.50
Joe Wolf	25	24	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	3	4	18.3	15.8	2.53	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Dean Garrett	68	68	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	7	-4	15.8	18.3	-2.53	14.7	14.5	0.21
Eric Washington	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	6	-2	19.8	15.5	4.30	14.7	14.6	0.02
Danny Fortson	57	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	7	-4	16.8	15.9	0.91	15.4	13.6	1.81
Anthony Goldwire	71	69	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	14	-18	17.4	13.5	3.89	14.2	16.0	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 88, LAL 100	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 80, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%