inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 80 Excitement4.3 [954] MVPBrandon Roy (POR): +18.9%
Atlanta Hawks 98 Comeback1.4 [872] LVPJoel Przybilla (POR): -9.5%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Roy0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.140.050.001966%0.191-0.006100%0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge0.040,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.01-0.031559%0.113-0.07250%-0.01
Michael Ruffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0010.0020%0.00
Shavlik Randolph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02950%0.032-0.042100%0.00
Channing Frye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00125%-0.011-0.02250%0.00
Rudy Fernandez-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.031432%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.01467%0.035-0.13450%-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.030.032757%0.1300.00771%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.080.031654%0.1200.00333%-0.02
Mike Bibby0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.02-0.031454%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.030.04876%0.101-0.021100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00367%0.051-0.03367%-0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.001100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Thomas Gardner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Acie Law00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02625%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.428.414.724.72.027.4123.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +28.0%
ATL +2.6%
POR -3.8%
ATL +23.5%
POR -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORATLNBAPORATLNBA
this game17.117.415.595.2118.1106.4
season16.715.8111.0106.7
opponent16.116.0106.0105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR19.115.718.815.117.1
ATL15.917.018.118.417.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Ruffin650.00-0.500.500.000-18189.717.7-8.0121.217.14.06
Shavlik Randolph650.00-0.500.500.000-18189.717.7-8.0121.217.14.06
Sergio Rodriguez1211-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-151212.417.9-5.4719.917.02.91
Jerryd Bayless1918-0.09-0.410.310.11-7-11414.417.9-3.4718.617.11.49
Joel Przybilla5149-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-181817.716.21.5217.317.5-0.24
Channing Frye1414-0.22-0.280.070.08-10-8-215.317.5-2.1919.117.02.11
Rudy Fernandez3031-0.25-0.250.010.02-9-9016.317.5-1.2016.617.8-1.23
Steve Blake6666-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-8-10217.515.52.0517.018.8-1.81
Nicolas Batum2829-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-10218.216.61.6617.117.6-0.49
Travis Outlaw5756-0.36-0.14-0.210.08-15-3-1217.516.31.2516.918.4-1.57
Brandon Roy6867-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-5-818.013.44.6117.218.2-0.99
LaMarcus Aldridge6364-0.47-0.03-0.440.03-17-1-1618.313.74.5917.317.8-0.52

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford68680.480.020.45-0.0819-12017.019.3-2.3818.212.35.92
Joe Johnson74740.410.090.31-0.011441017.119.7-2.5617.812.05.80
Mike Bibby66670.390.110.28-0.021441017.218.1-0.9218.013.54.49
Zaza Pachulia24250.350.150.200.06108217.017.6-0.6018.216.71.50
Josh Smith68670.260.240.03-0.0099017.716.01.6917.316.50.72
Maurice Evans38390.250.25-0.010.01810-216.718.0-1.2519.115.43.68
Ronald Murray35340.230.27-0.04-0.12126617.217.5-0.3215.618.2-2.60
Mario West15170.080.42-0.33-0.03414-1017.817.30.5113.818.0-4.19
Acie Law12120.050.45-0.40-0.01216-1419.117.11.9812.217.9-5.76
Solomon Jones560.000.50-0.500.00018-1821.217.14.069.717.7-8.01
Randolph Morris550.000.50-0.500.06-220-2221.217.14.068.417.7-9.26
Thomas Gardner560.000.50-0.500.00018-1821.217.14.069.717.7-8.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 82, LAC 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.0%
SAS 83, NYK 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
CHI 90, IND 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%