NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	5.1 [791]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +20.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.6 [899]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -20.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	17	43%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	16	41%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07
Jarron Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	6	53%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.08	-0.01	20	66%	0.26	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	73%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	14	86%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.19	-0.06	-0.04	10	46%	-0.07	5	-0.14	17	59%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.0	28.2	14.7	27.3	2.4	32.2	129.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.2%

LAC +14.2%

UTA -4.0%

UTA -6.7%

LAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	17.6	14.7	15.7	92.1	104.5	100.5
season	17.2	15.5		99.4	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.2	17.3	17.4	15.7	17.6
LAC	12.5	15.4	15.4	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Grant	10	10	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-15	19	16.1	17.8	-1.74	16.6	14.5	2.12
Mo Williams	28	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-11	11	17.3	17.8	-0.47	15.6	14.4	1.17
Sasha Pavlovic	20	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-11	11	17.9	17.6	0.40	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Jarron Collins	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-11	11	16.4	18.9	-2.55	15.7	13.7	1.92
Raul Lopez	18	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	17.9	17.6	0.38	16.9	14.2	2.75
Carlos Arroyo	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-7	3	17.6	17.9	-0.38	14.2	16.9	-2.75
Greg Ostertag	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	-2	-7	17.8	17.3	0.52	14.3	15.8	-1.56
Raja Bell	64	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	18.0	16.6	1.45	15.4	13.0	2.37
DeShawn Stevenson	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	1	-13	17.3	18.7	-1.36	13.9	17.3	-3.45
Michael Ruffin	60	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	6	-23	18.7	15.5	3.20	14.2	15.8	-1.68

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	78	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-10	31	14.2	18.1	-3.85	17.8	16.6	1.17
Quentin Richardson	82	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-3	17	14.2	20.6	-6.35	17.9	15.5	2.41
Corey Maggette	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.06	13	-2	15	14.0	16.9	-2.85	17.5	18.0	-0.46
Marko Jaric	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-1	13	13.6	16.7	-3.10	17.6	17.8	-0.21
Chris Kaman	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	7	-3	15.7	13.0	2.69	17.4	18.1	-0.70
Eddie House	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	10	-9	16.7	13.6	3.10	17.8	17.6	0.21
Chris Wilcox	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	11	-11	13.7	15.1	-1.39	19.0	17.1	1.92
Matt Barnes	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	15	-19	16.0	13.9	2.12	16.5	18.3	-1.85
Predrag Drobnjak	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	17	-23	19.0	14.1	4.95	17.2	17.7	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DAL 84, SEA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 95, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	94.8%