NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	4.9 [878]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +14.5%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.2 [1064]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -18.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	15	68%	0.10	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Adrian Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	14	53%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Reiner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	7	6%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	13	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.03	0.05	5	80%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	8	-0.19	4	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.02	13	77%	0.18	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.11	9	56%	0.09	5	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	10	58%	0.02	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	56%	-0.00	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	31.2	16.6	26.2	2.6	33.0	139.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.5%

IND +11.7%

CHI -0.4%

IND +8.0%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.5	94.7	105.3	104.0
season	15.1	16.8		100.1	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.9	17.6	14.3	13.6	14.7
IND	16.8	16.0	13.4	16.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	48	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	14.7	14.8	-0.12	15.4	15.8	-0.45
Adrian Griffin	39	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-12	14	14.9	14.6	0.25	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Tyson Chandler	48	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-11	12	14.0	15.5	-1.47	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Ben Gordon	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-9	8	14.1	15.6	-1.55	15.8	15.3	0.46
Jared Reiner	30	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	13.6	15.2	-1.60	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Kirk Hinrich	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	2	-14	15.1	13.9	1.19	15.8	15.2	0.64
Andres Nocioni	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	1	-12	15.5	13.0	2.50	16.3	14.1	2.19
Luol Deng	69	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	15.2	13.5	1.69	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Chris Duhon	56	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	4	-18	14.6	14.9	-0.25	15.5	15.7	-0.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-1	12	14.5	19.9	-5.38	14.3	16.5	-2.25
Austin Croshere	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-3	16	14.9	17.7	-2.89	14.6	15.0	-0.31
Fred Jones	52	50	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-4	18	15.8	15.3	0.44	14.9	14.6	0.28
David Harrison	30	33	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-5	20	14.6	16.1	-1.49	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Stephen Jackson	80	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	6	-2	14.7	20.3	-5.55	14.4	16.4	-2.06
Jermaine O'Neal	50	52	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	8	-6	17.7	13.3	4.37	15.6	13.7	1.96
Metta World Peace	60	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	9	-8	16.7	13.6	3.10	15.4	13.4	1.99
Eddie Gill	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	13	-16	17.7	14.9	2.89	15.0	14.6	0.31
James Jones	29	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	15	-20	16.1	15.3	0.79	15.0	14.6	0.37
John Edwards	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	10.3	15.8	-5.43	7.7	15.0	-7.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, CLE 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 80, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CLE 113, LAL 127	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%