inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 97 Excitement3.8 [1021] MVPJeff Hornacek (UTA): +9.4%
Utah Jazz 114 Comeback1.0 [1263] LVPDonyell Marshall (GSW): -9.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.00-0.011553%0.0700.0000%0.00
Mark Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bill Curley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tony Farmer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.010.01847%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Adonal Foyle-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03753%0.003-0.04580%0.00
Sam Jacobson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.04631%-0.042-0.02475%-0.01
Larry Hughes-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.012251%0.015-0.10978%-0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.00-0.051837%-0.091-0.011275%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.030.02880%0.111-0.014100%0.02
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.00883%0.102-0.02250%-0.01
Olden Polynice0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02483%0.0400.004100%0.02
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.03756%0.0410.002100%0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02764%0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02362%0.021-0.01250%0.00
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01-0.01952%0.021-0.023100%0.01
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.021100%0.011-0.024100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02283%0.053-0.062100%0.01
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.05250%0.013-0.0200%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.051749%0.003-0.041173%-0.00
Quincy Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01440%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.31.829.215.725.42.428.4135.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +39.1%
UTA +10.5%
UTA +0.0%
GSW -6.2%
UTA +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWUTANBAGSWUTANBA
this game14.914.815.2100.0117.5101.7
season14.716.397.2104.5
opponent15.214.7100.6105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.813.514.117.714.9
UTA11.916.514.716.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Young450.00-0.500.50-0.124-212512.015.0-3.0418.014.63.40
Bill Curley1010-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-181914.215.0-0.8016.014.61.37
Mark Davis2930-0.20-0.300.110.07-9-8-114.215.2-1.0114.414.9-0.54
Sam Jacobson5051-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-9114.515.4-0.9414.814.70.11
Adonal Foyle5453-0.22-0.280.07-0.10-4-13914.016.1-2.1515.613.71.87
Tony Farmer4747-0.22-0.280.05-0.08-5-12713.816.0-2.1915.014.60.40
Jason Caffey5252-0.35-0.15-0.190.15-170-1717.212.34.9414.415.2-0.75
Donyell Marshall7978-0.39-0.11-0.270.11-170-1714.815.3-0.5114.117.4-3.23
Larry Hughes8988-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.05-13-4-914.914.70.1814.319.0-4.66
Mookie Blaylock7171-0.44-0.06-0.390.05-170-1715.712.82.8315.213.61.63

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Stockton63630.400.100.29-0.1318-11914.215.9-1.7114.914.9-0.04
Olden Polynice49490.370.130.24-0.041431113.915.7-1.7714.615.3-0.70
Karl Malone59610.350.150.20-0.2420-32314.415.3-0.8916.013.03.05
Bryon Russell50510.340.160.17-0.2821-42513.516.2-2.7116.613.03.65
Jeff Hornacek52520.280.220.060.0298114.814.80.0313.916.1-2.23
Howard Eisley33340.220.28-0.07-0.0289-116.114.11.9517.513.53.93
Armen Gilliam38360.150.35-0.200.24-320-2315.314.40.8913.016.0-3.05
Greg Ostertag42430.130.37-0.24-0.1398115.314.40.9015.714.31.48
Quincy Lewis20190.110.39-0.27-0.00413-913.115.2-2.1114.215.1-0.88
Jacque Vaughn34340.100.40-0.290.13-118-1915.914.21.7114.914.90.04
Scott Padgett24230.060.44-0.370.21-522-2715.814.41.4113.015.5-2.57
Adam Keefe2120-0.010.51-0.520.25-926-3517.214.13.1510.816.0-5.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 83, WAS 1150.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
CHI 85, MEM 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.8%
CHH 79, SAS 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.8%