NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	3.7 [1045]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +7.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	1.1 [1072]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -13.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	24	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	8	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	0%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	6	35%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Marcus Fizer	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.00	-0.03	16	25%	-0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	15	71%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00
Grant Long	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.07	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	20	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonis Fotsis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	15	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	28.2	15.7	27.1	2.4	30.7	132.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.0%

MEM +13.3%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +0.1%

MEM +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.6	89.5	111.5	102.3
season	15.6	15.7		96.3	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	15.3	15.8	13.0	14.8
MEM	14.1	16.8	14.2	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalibor Bagaric	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	13.9	14.9	-1.02	13.4	15.6	-2.17
Eddy Curry	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-23	24	15.3	14.6	0.72	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Fred Hoiberg	11	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-22	22	14.4	14.9	-0.51	17.5	15.0	2.45
Tyson Chandler	23	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-15	8	14.4	14.9	-0.50	15.6	15.2	0.37
Kevin Ollie	38	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-21	20	14.8	14.8	-0.04	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Trenton Hassell	45	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-15	8	14.6	15.0	-0.36	15.5	15.2	0.33
Metta World Peace	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-12	2	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Greg Anthony	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.21	-21	-1	-20	14.8	14.8	0.04	15.6	15.0	0.62
Brad Miller	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.24	-23	1	-24	14.4	15.3	-0.85	14.9	15.9	-0.96
Ron Mercer	84	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	0	-22	14.9	14.4	0.51	15.0	17.5	-2.45
Marcus Fizer	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	-5	-12	15.5	13.2	2.36	16.2	13.6	2.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	-2	26	14.7	24.7	-9.94	14.8	14.6	0.22
Jason Williams	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	2	18	15.6	14.5	1.08	15.0	14.0	0.98
Pau Gasol	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.24	22	0	22	15.6	14.5	1.07	14.9	14.6	0.29
Grant Long	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	4	14	16.2	13.9	2.34	15.3	13.9	1.43
Stromile Swift	80	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	5	12	15.1	16.4	-1.24	15.4	11.7	3.68
Tony Massenburg	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	16	-10	15.6	15.2	0.40	13.3	16.1	-2.78
Rodney Buford	34	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	23	-24	15.2	15.4	-0.21	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Brevin Knight	15	14	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	22	-22	16.7	15.1	1.65	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Antonis Fotsis	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	12.5	15.5	-2.97	10.7	15.0	-4.24
Will Solomon	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	22	-22	13.5	15.6	-2.03	12.8	15.0	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHH 79, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.8%
NJN 93, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%