NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	100		Excitement	6.3 [554]		MVP	Evan Eschmeyer (NJN): +14.6%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	2.6 [227]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -16.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Eschmeyer	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	13	61%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.02	19	55%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	17	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	18	52%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	-0.06	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	18	47%	-0.06	3	-0.10	13	85%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.0	15.8	21.2	2.5	35.2	126.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +70.4%

TOR -8.1%

TOR -32.4%

NJN +20.6%

TOR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	17.6	15.2	109.9	104.5	101.7
season	15.5	15.5		102.1	101.8
opponent	14.9	14.7		102.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.9	14.5	14.2	16.5	14.4
TOR	15.4	16.8	20.1	18.7	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	67	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-8	23	14.1	15.4	-1.27	17.3	18.5	-1.18
Stephon Marbury	71	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-6	19	14.2	15.1	-0.91	17.4	18.2	-0.78
Keith Van Horn	68	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-6	19	14.2	15.3	-1.10	17.3	18.5	-1.18
Evan Eschmeyer	31	30	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	5	-3	15.8	13.7	2.12	18.6	17.1	1.57
Jamie Feick	43	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-5	17	13.4	15.4	-1.94	18.1	17.1	0.99
Lucious Harris	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	13	-19	15.6	13.5	2.16	18.4	17.0	1.36
Kerry Kittles	24	24	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	-3	13	12.2	15.2	-2.97	15.0	18.6	-3.55
Johnny Newman	51	50	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.27	-5	12	-17	15.0	13.8	1.19	18.7	16.2	2.43
Scott Burrell	23	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	13	-19	15.3	14.2	1.10	18.5	17.3	1.18
Elliot Perry	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	13	-19	15.1	14.2	0.91	18.2	17.4	0.78
Jim McIlvaine	17	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.4	0.04	14.5	18.3	-3.86

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	45	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-14	21	18.3	16.8	1.49	14.6	14.2	0.39
Kevin Willis	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-7	7	20.1	16.3	3.73	14.9	14.2	0.67
Muggsy Bogues	36	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-9	11	20.1	15.9	4.27	14.6	14.3	0.33
Tracy McGrady	75	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-4	1	16.6	22.7	-6.07	14.1	16.4	-2.35
Charles Oakley	54	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	6	-19	17.0	18.5	-1.47	13.8	15.5	-1.75
Vince Carter	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	17.1	20.7	-3.55	14.6	13.9	0.69
Doug Christie	63	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	17.2	18.6	-1.39	14.6	14.1	0.51
Antonio Davis	65	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	6	-19	17.1	19.0	-1.92	14.7	13.7	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.24,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 111, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0	93.9%
DET 93, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.9%
SAC 94, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.16,0	93.2%