NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	6.9 [451]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +19.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	1.6 [967]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -23.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	6	86%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	55%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	10	36%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Juwan Howard	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	16	42%	-0.03	6	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	9	55%	-0.06	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	0.01	17	40%	-0.20	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.09	-0.00	4	80%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	63%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	14	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.08	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	5	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	14	31%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	8	48%	-0.03	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	32.2	15.7	28.2	1.6	33.0	139.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.2%

POR +16.7%

POR +30.3%

WAS -14.8%

POR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.2	93.4	98.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.9		101.1	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.8		99.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.2	18.1	15.7	14.9	15.5
POR	17.3	15.3	15.0	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	5	6	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-9	10	17.0	15.4	1.64	21.7	15.3	6.39
Michael Smith	24	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-2	-4	15.5	15.4	0.12	14.5	16.1	-1.64
Rod Strickland	75	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-12	16	14.6	19.5	-4.91	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Ike Austin	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-9	10	15.3	15.6	-0.31	17.0	14.9	2.02
Aaron Williams	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	15.2	15.5	-0.35	16.5	15.4	1.08
Jahidi White	56	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	1	-10	15.6	15.3	0.31	14.9	17.0	-2.02
Juwan Howard	85	89	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	15.3	18.2	-2.91	15.4	20.2	-4.77
Tracy Murray	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-8	8	16.6	14.0	2.58	16.4	14.8	1.62
Chris Whitney	16	17	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	4	-16	19.5	14.6	4.91	15.8	15.7	0.10
Mitch Richmond	82	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.23	-11	3	-14	14.9	20.4	-5.54	15.2	19.8	-4.61

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	45	45	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.31	17	-9	26	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.4	15.5	-0.19
Steven Smith	69	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-6	20	16.0	14.7	1.31	16.1	13.8	2.22
Greg Anthony	26	26	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-4	16	15.4	15.8	-0.36	18.5	14.2	4.27
Detlef Schrempf	42	40	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-2	12	14.7	16.5	-1.79	17.9	13.5	4.46
Jermaine O'Neal	24	24	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	2	4	17.0	15.2	1.72	14.8	15.7	-0.84
Rasheed Wallace	69	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	6	-4	15.3	16.7	-1.36	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Damon Stoudamire	68	65	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	12	-16	15.8	15.4	0.36	14.2	18.5	-4.27
Scottie Pippen	55	54	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	12	-16	16.4	14.6	1.78	13.4	18.5	-5.16
Stacey Augmon	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	14	-20	14.7	16.0	-1.31	13.8	16.1	-2.22
Brian Grant	47	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	15	-22	15.5	15.9	-0.38	16.3	14.7	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.2%
CHI 94, CLE 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.94,0.92,1	93.0%
SAC 80, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.97,1,0.91,1	92.4%