NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Excitement	8.1 [193]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +17.1%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.3 [351]		LVP	Nick Collison (OKC): -23.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.22,0.2,0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.02	23	56%	0.29	4	-0.12	17	82%	0.04
James Harden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	21	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	5	71%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Daequan Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.18,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.19	0.00	22	53%	0.32	5	-0.15	13	69%	-0.07
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	7	57%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.3	30.7	16.5	26.2	1.8	36.0	140.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.0%

OKC -22.3%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +20.8%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ATL	NBA	OKC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.6	95.7	102.1	102.8
season	14.7	15.7		107.9	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		99.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.4	15.3	14.1	18.0	15.4
ATL	16.3	14.1	15.3	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	27	27	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-9	11	15.1	15.5	-0.45	15.4	14.9	0.50
Royal Ivey	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	13.3	16.6	-3.24	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Nick Collison	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	16.7	14.1	2.53	15.5	14.7	0.76
Nazr Mohammed	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	14.3	15.6	-1.26	14.9	15.1	-0.27
Cole Aldrich	29	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-5	3	17.9	14.3	3.57	12.3	16.2	-3.84
Russell Westbrook	73	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-9	11	14.9	17.1	-2.19	15.2	14.5	0.76
Reggie Jackson	21	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	2	-11	17.1	14.9	2.19	14.5	15.2	-0.76
Serge Ibaka	59	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-5	3	14.3	17.3	-2.97	15.2	14.8	0.36
Kendrick Perkins	28	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-4	1	14.8	15.7	-0.87	17.7	13.8	3.95
Kevin Durant	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.6	-0.23	15.0	15.9	-0.91
James Harden	53	53	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.31	-14	7	-21	16.3	14.2	2.08	14.8	15.5	-0.70

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	82	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-2	11	15.2	14.5	0.63	15.4	15.1	0.38
Jeff Teague	68	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	14.7	16.0	-1.28	14.7	17.1	-2.44
Kirk Hinrich	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	1	5	15.7	14.4	1.26	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Marvin Williams	61	59	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	8	-9	15.2	14.9	0.31	14.4	17.1	-2.79
Vladimir Radmanovic	25	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-2	11	14.9	15.1	-0.22	18.0	14.4	3.55
Josh Smith	74	73	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	9	-11	15.4	14.1	1.27	14.4	18.8	-4.34
Ivan Johnson	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	2	3	14.6	15.4	-0.84	17.4	13.9	3.49
Jannero Pargo	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	3	1	16.0	14.7	1.31	17.5	14.4	3.04
Tracy McGrady	4	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	6	-5	12.2	15.2	-2.96	11.8	15.6	-3.80
Jerry Stackhouse	39	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	9	-11	14.3	15.7	-1.40	16.2	14.8	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.96,1,1	93.7%
LAL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.7%
PHX 110, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%