NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	1.7 [1258]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +20.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	114		Comeback	1.0 [1135]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -6.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	11	46%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	11	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	43%	-0.00	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.13	0.00	-0.10	8	36%	-0.01	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	11	38%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.28	0.00	0.08	21	84%	0.21	2	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	70%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	11	50%	0.06	4	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	56%	0.02	1	0.00	8	25%	-0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	79%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	30%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	9	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	69.1	1.8	28.1	15.8	25.1	1.7	30.2	171.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.0%

WAS -0.3%

SEA +3.2%

SEA +9.2%

SEA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	NBA	WAS	SEA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	15.2	85.9	116.3	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		101.1	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		102.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	14.3	14.7	14.0	14.8
SEA	13.2	13.9	16.0	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	42	43	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-32	35	13.8	15.5	-1.66	13.0	15.6	-2.62
Reggie Jordan	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-30	31	12.7	15.1	-2.40	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Richard Hamilton	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-30	31	14.1	15.0	-0.92	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Chris Whitney	48	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-29	29	14.4	15.1	-0.72	12.8	16.2	-3.39
Ike Austin	51	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-33	37	13.7	15.9	-2.11	13.5	15.5	-1.98
Jahidi White	48	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.59	-33	4	-37	15.9	13.7	2.11	15.5	13.5	1.98
Juwan Howard	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.32	-24	-5	-19	15.0	14.5	0.49	14.8	13.9	0.96
Rod Strickland	57	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.47	-30	1	-31	15.0	14.5	0.51	15.7	12.8	2.91
Tracy Murray	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.45	-33	4	-37	15.4	13.8	1.54	15.6	12.7	2.83
Mitch Richmond	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.52	-36	7	-43	16.1	12.9	3.27	14.8	14.0	0.71

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	61	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.48	31	-2	33	14.6	14.3	0.23	15.2	14.1	1.03
Vin Baker	43	43	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.33	24	5	19	15.9	13.3	2.56	15.6	14.1	1.48
Horace Grant	30	30	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.26	21	8	13	13.6	14.9	-1.30	16.9	13.9	3.01
Brent Barry	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.27	21	8	13	15.3	13.4	1.87	15.1	14.3	0.74
Ruben Patterson	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.33	22	7	15	15.5	13.4	2.08	14.8	14.7	0.14
Shammond Williams	55	56	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	20	-11	13.4	15.9	-2.48	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Rashard Lewis	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	22	-15	13.4	15.5	-2.08	14.7	14.8	-0.14
Vladimir Stepania	44	45	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	29	-29	14.2	14.7	-0.48	13.4	15.9	-2.47
Jelani McCoy	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	26	-23	13.7	15.1	-1.39	14.7	14.8	-0.17
Chuck Person	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	25	-21	11.8	14.7	-2.96	11.2	15.1	-3.90
Greg Foster	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.16	6	23	-17	16.0	14.0	2.00	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Emanual Davis	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	14.8	14.3	0.50	14.0	15.0	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
MIA 69, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
HOU 75, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%