NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	69		Excitement	1.7 [1272]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +4.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	1.0 [1191]		LVP	Brian Grant (MIA): -6.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	68%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Sean Lampley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	58%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	8	24%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	7	36%	0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	5	8%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	15	52%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	11	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	10	70%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	24.7	14.8	23.4	2.5	27.4	122.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +21.5%

POR +3.7%

POR +8.3%

POR +14.1%

POR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	POR	NBA	MIA	POR	NBA
this game	16.9	15.0	15.5	75.0	100.0	101.6
season	16.3	16.0		94.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		101.8	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	19.3	16.0	19.9	13.3	16.9
POR	12.6	14.6	17.0	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Lampley	24	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	13.2	18.2	-5.04	15.1	15.0	0.09
Rasual Butler	46	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-28	37	15.3	18.6	-3.30	14.7	15.3	-0.59
LaPhonso Ellis	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-16	13	17.2	16.9	0.29	12.3	15.7	-3.45
Mike James	56	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-23	27	15.6	18.9	-3.30	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Vladimir Stepania	51	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-21	23	15.0	19.4	-4.39	13.7	16.7	-2.95
Eddie House	49	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-19	19	15.6	18.4	-2.83	14.3	15.9	-1.56
Malik Allen	37	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-1	-17	19.7	15.1	4.58	17.0	13.7	3.33
Eddie Jones	49	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	0	-19	17.8	15.9	1.93	15.6	14.4	1.18
Travis Best	36	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.29	-23	4	-27	18.9	15.6	3.30	15.7	14.6	1.16
Caron Butler	40	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.42	-28	9	-37	19.3	15.1	4.27	15.6	14.6	0.98
Brian Grant	54	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.28	-25	6	-31	18.5	14.7	3.74	15.8	13.9	1.97

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	50	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	-5	29	14.0	16.4	-2.41	18.9	14.5	4.33
Bonzi Wells	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.25	24	-5	29	15.4	14.3	1.15	18.8	13.7	5.10
Derek Anderson	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	-5	29	15.4	14.2	1.27	18.0	14.9	3.02
Dale Davis	42	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.22	22	-3	25	15.2	14.9	0.32	18.1	15.9	2.26
Rasheed Wallace	42	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	1	17	14.8	15.2	-0.41	18.6	15.4	3.17
Damon Stoudamire	57	60	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	22	-25	15.6	13.9	1.78	15.8	19.1	-3.36
Ruben Patterson	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	15	-11	15.3	14.9	0.40	17.3	16.8	0.51
Arvydas Sabonis	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	19	-19	13.3	15.4	-2.14	18.1	16.7	1.39
Zach Randolph	39	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	20	-21	17.3	13.2	4.15	15.2	18.4	-3.25
Jeff McInnis	18	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	13.2	15.5	-2.26	12.3	18.2	-5.86
Qyntel Woods	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	12.8	15.6	-2.80	11.6	18.2	-6.62
Antonio Daniels	15	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	13.3	15.4	-2.12	11.2	18.1	-6.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
UTA 98, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
WAS 85, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%