NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	7.0 [431]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +23.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	6.6 [898]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -9.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.02	15	69%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	11	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.12	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Charles R. Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	19	57%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.10	0.01	9	96%	0.30	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	85%	0.13	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	2	83%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	9	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.2	15.5	29.3	2.4	36.3	137.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -15.2%

POR +24.9%

POR +40.6%

LAC -0.7%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	17.0	15.3	15.2	113.6	118.9	101.7
season	15.6	15.9		95.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.3		99.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	19.0	17.0	16.8	17.0
POR	15.1	15.2	14.3	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	9	10	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-4	1	18.9	16.8	2.07	8.7	16.2	-7.48
Keith Closs	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-9	11	15.9	17.5	-1.59	15.5	15.3	0.27
Troy Hudson	75	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-8	9	16.2	21.7	-5.47	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Maurice Taylor	74	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-11	15	16.4	20.2	-3.78	15.8	12.9	2.89
Michael Olowokandi	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	2	-11	18.6	15.1	3.55	15.5	15.2	0.24
Brian Skinner	18	19	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	0	-7	19.5	16.4	3.10	16.4	15.1	1.36
Lamar Odom	84	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	1	-9	16.9	20.0	-3.11	15.1	19.0	-3.87
Eric Piatkowski	37	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	4	-15	16.8	17.2	-0.48	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Derek Anderson	71	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	-3	-1	17.3	16.1	1.21	16.3	11.2	5.07

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	44	42	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-7	21	15.6	15.1	0.57	17.9	16.2	1.67
Damon Stoudamire	54	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	-2	11	16.1	14.2	1.96	17.5	16.4	1.10
Rasheed Wallace	68	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	5	-3	15.7	14.1	1.66	17.4	15.9	1.52
Brian Grant	34	33	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-9	25	16.0	14.9	1.10	19.8	15.3	4.50
Arvydas Sabonis	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	7	-7	16.6	14.2	2.39	16.7	17.3	-0.57
Steven Smith	51	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	15.6	14.9	0.70	16.1	18.2	-2.07
Bonzi Wells	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	8	-9	13.6	16.2	-2.59	16.9	17.1	-0.15
Greg Anthony	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	7	-7	14.3	16.2	-1.87	17.1	17.0	0.17
Jermaine O'Neal	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	13.9	16.1	-2.22	15.3	18.0	-2.74
Scottie Pippen	59	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	13	-19	14.7	16.6	-1.89	15.9	19.2	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.98,0.97,1	90.1%
NYK 81, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.85,0.85,1	89.9%
OKC 95, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	89.7%