NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	6.4 [531]		MVP	Wesley Person (POR): +14.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	7.5 [366]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -23.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.04	11	64%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.24	-0.08	-0.18	-0.02	4	40%	-0.09	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	8	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	8	65%	0.04	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	21	46%	-0.03	3	-0.15	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	566.1	1.8	28.0	14.8	22.6	1.6	-688.6	-53.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +12.8%

POR +16.6%

POR +16.5%

POR +3.7%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	18.7	15.7	97.6	106.0	100.5
season	15.5	17.1		98.6	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	16.0	18.8	16.4	16.0
POR	21.0	16.0	19.1	18.7	18.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	55	54	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-15	23	16.6	14.9	1.69	19.1	17.7	1.42
Michael Doleac	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	15.0	16.6	-1.56	18.4	18.8	-0.34
Keith Van Horn	60	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-13	19	16.0	16.1	-0.05	18.8	18.1	0.72
Dikembe Mutombo	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-9	11	16.5	15.8	0.76	19.5	18.2	1.33
Frank Williams	16	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.1	16.3	-1.22	17.3	19.0	-1.71
Antonio McDyess	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	15.9	16.1	-0.23	18.8	18.5	0.33
Allan Houston	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-6	5	16.3	15.1	1.22	19.0	17.3	1.71
Shandon Anderson	23	23	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	6	-19	16.1	16.0	0.05	18.1	18.8	-0.72
Charlie Ward	28	29	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	8	-23	14.9	16.6	-1.69	17.7	19.1	-1.42
Kurt Thomas	73	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	4	-15	16.3	14.1	2.22	18.3	21.6	-3.26

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	48	47	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	18.1	19.5	-1.39	15.5	16.8	-1.34
Zach Randolph	70	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-2	11	18.7	18.2	0.59	16.1	16.0	0.06
Vladimir Stepania	15	15	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-4	15	17.5	18.9	-1.36	19.3	15.3	4.01
Damon Stoudamire	74	74	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	10	-13	19.3	13.4	5.84	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Rasheed Wallace	67	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	5	-3	18.6	19.0	-0.43	15.8	16.9	-1.12
Qyntel Woods	9	9	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-2	11	13.2	19.3	-6.09	16.6	16.0	0.57
Jeff McInnis	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	-3	13	18.3	19.5	-1.19	15.6	17.1	-1.46
Wesley Person	23	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	11	-15	20.3	18.0	2.35	17.4	15.5	1.92
Dale Davis	51	51	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.14	-10	17	-27	19.2	17.8	1.41	15.7	16.5	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	89.9%
CHI 81, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1	89.6%
NJN 107, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.93,0.91,1	89.4%