inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 81 Excitement5.9 [373] MVPGrant Long (ATL): +7.0%
Atlanta Hawks 93 Comeback5.7 [506] LVPCharles R. Jones (CHI): -12.5%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Benjamin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Randy Brown0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01391%0.041-0.02580%-0.00
Dickey Simpkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.020.00558%0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Cory Carr-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00267%0.011-0.0220%-0.03
Bill Wennington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00850%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Rusty LaRue-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Kornel David-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.00-0.080.02864%-0.012-0.086100%0.02
Mark Bryant-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.040.00844%-0.022-0.072100%0.01
Keith Booth-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.00837%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Brent Barry-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.02950%0.034-0.14450%-0.02
Charles R. Jones-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.07-0.02844%0.013-0.13250%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.000.06-0.01558%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.021266%0.082-0.03887%0.02
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.060.010.041457%0.0300.002100%0.00
Mark West00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02767%0.022-0.051346%-0.09
Alan Henderson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.021445%0.023-0.071100%0.01
Roshown McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.01217%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00943%-0.041-0.02333%-0.04
Chris Crawford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0010%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.01839%-0.032-0.072100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.829.615.023.32.437.3137.5
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +8.2%
ATL +9.5%
CHI -1.7%
ATL +33.5%
ATL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIATLNBACHIATLNBA
this game16.016.015.888.0105.799.6
season16.716.790.697.2
opponent16.315.494.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.916.116.215.016.0
ATL17.414.514.417.816.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Randy Brown38350.14-0.640.78-0.046-182417.614.92.6815.916.0-0.04
Corey Benjamin15140.07-0.570.640.012-141616.815.90.9214.116.3-2.17
Cory Carr13130.06-0.560.630.002-141617.415.81.5714.416.2-1.86
Bill Wennington4240-0.10-0.400.30-0.276-182416.715.51.1716.015.90.06
Kornel David5654-0.10-0.400.30-0.193-151815.217.4-2.2316.315.40.90
Rusty LaRue1312-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-2-815.516.1-0.6713.916.3-2.37
Dickey Simpkins5351-0.26-0.24-0.020.15-142-1615.516.7-1.2316.115.80.22
Charles R. Jones4141-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.16-8-4-414.817.1-2.3016.615.41.16
Keith Booth4643-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-131-1416.815.21.6316.215.80.39
Brent Barry7975-0.560.06-0.63-0.15-142-1615.817.4-1.5716.214.41.86
Mark Bryant6462-0.700.20-0.90-0.11-208-2816.016.00.0515.816.3-0.43

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith70760.62-0.120.740.1815-31815.916.3-0.4615.817.0-1.17
Grant Long31330.480.010.470.161111017.515.12.3416.415.80.52
Tyrone Corbin61630.480.020.47-0.0418-62415.217.7-2.4515.417.5-2.12
Dikembe Mutombo76800.420.080.340.2175216.413.23.2415.618.7-3.03
Anthony Johnson40390.290.210.070.23210-816.115.80.3416.915.41.59
Chris Crawford13150.170.33-0.160.14111-1018.915.53.4719.115.43.70
Mark West11110.100.40-0.30-0.0457-213.216.4-3.1817.515.81.72
Mookie Blaylock73760.060.44-0.37-0.1166015.816.8-1.0115.916.9-1.02
Alan Henderson5860-0.010.51-0.51-0.03111-1015.117.6-2.5316.115.90.19
Roshown McLeod77-0.130.63-0.760.05-618-2418.715.72.9914.416.2-1.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 88, CLE 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,1,191.4%
ORL 85, WAS 930.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,190.6%
IND 88, MIA 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.91,190.6%