NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Excitement	7.9 [305]		MVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): +16.3%
Brooklyn Nets	100		Comeback	5.7 [95]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (OKC): -24.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	27	47%	0.06	3	-0.15	12	75%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	13	41%	-0.07	4	-0.09	3	0%	-0.07
Carmelo Anthony	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.06	-0.01	20	25%	-0.22	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.06	0.04	10	72%	0.16	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.01	15	49%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.03	12	58%	0.17	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	6	38%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.10	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	8	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	11	28%	-0.06	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.7	26.4	15.3	27.6	1.8	33.7	135.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +57.8%

BKN +7.4%

OKC -7.8%

OKC -9.9%

BKN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BKN	NBA	OKC	BKN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.7	95.0	98.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.7		109.4	105.8
opponent	14.1	15.3		109.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.9	13.1	16.0	15.4	14.5
BKN	14.3	13.6	12.3	15.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	15	17	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-9	13	14.9	14.4	0.49	12.8	14.2	-1.41
Patrick Patterson	43	43	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-7	9	14.8	14.3	0.43	12.9	14.8	-1.89
Terrance Ferguson	30	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-6	7	15.3	14.2	1.07	12.2	14.8	-2.64
Raymond Felton	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-9	13	15.8	13.9	1.91	12.0	14.9	-2.87
Kyle Singler	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-7	9	13.6	15.3	-1.74	14.4	13.7	0.75
Carmelo Anthony	78	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-8	11	14.4	15.0	-0.67	14.1	13.5	0.60
Alex Abrines	52	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	3	-11	15.0	14.0	1.00	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Russell Westbrook	74	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	4	-13	14.1	15.7	-1.64	14.5	12.6	1.96
Andre Roberson	67	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	6	-17	14.5	14.5	-0.04	15.3	11.5	3.74
Steven Adams	63	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.27	-13	8	-21	14.2	15.0	-0.76	14.7	12.8	1.93

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	74	71	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-11	27	14.0	14.0	0.05	14.6	14.2	0.39
Allen Crabbe	67	70	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.11	21	-16	37	13.0	15.9	-2.83	14.7	14.2	0.46
Spencer Dinwiddie	40	39	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-2	9	14.5	13.7	0.86	14.8	14.4	0.41
Tyler Zeller	40	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-3	11	15.5	13.0	2.55	15.9	13.6	2.30
DeMarre Carroll	67	63	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.35	-7	12	-19	14.8	12.5	2.35	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Caris LeVert	67	66	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	5	-5	14.1	13.7	0.43	13.7	16.2	-2.55
Timofey Mozgov	16	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	1	3	14.0	14.0	-0.00	11.5	15.2	-3.68
Joe Harris	57	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	10	-15	13.2	15.0	-1.87	14.6	14.5	0.12
Jarrett Allen	39	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	14	-23	13.2	14.5	-1.37	14.6	14.5	0.12
Quincy Acy	43	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	15	-25	13.9	14.1	-0.12	15.3	14.0	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.3%
NYK 77, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.6%
POR 99, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,1	91.4%