NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	77		Excitement	6.4 [524]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +13.9%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	3.7 [584]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -19.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	10	40%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	13	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	7	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	27	49%	-0.08	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.12	-0.03	10	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	21	46%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	67%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	27.2	17.4	27.5	1.7	32.5	134.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.1%

DET +20.4%

DET +25.0%

NYK -27.4%

NYK -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.9	15.5	86.5	95.6	101.6
season	15.6	16.8		102.6	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	17.0	15.0	17.9	16.2
DET	15.4	15.0	16.3	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	70	69	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-14	19	15.6	18.6	-3.05	16.1	15.4	0.67
Charlie Ward	74	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	15.7	18.8	-3.08	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Kurt Thomas	66	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	1	-11	15.9	17.1	-1.21	16.5	14.4	2.03
Travis Knight	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	16.4	16.1	0.28	15.2	16.3	-1.15
Allan Houston	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-9	9	15.2	19.1	-3.90	16.3	14.9	1.42
Othella Harrington	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	16.8	13.7	3.13	16.0	15.6	0.42
Clar. Weatherspoon	35	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	3	-15	17.3	15.5	1.82	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Howard Eisley	31	30	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	5	-19	18.9	14.8	4.14	15.4	16.2	-0.77

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	46	45	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.28	15	-6	21	15.6	16.3	-0.64	17.4	15.1	2.31
Corliss Williamson	41	39	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-3	15	15.7	16.1	-0.39	17.1	15.6	1.54
Jon Barry	23	21	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-1	11	17.2	15.5	1.71	18.2	15.6	2.56
Ben Wallace	76	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-2	13	15.9	16.1	-0.23	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Clifford Robinson	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-1	11	16.0	15.9	0.07	16.7	15.3	1.32
Michael Curry	50	51	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	10	-11	15.8	16.1	-0.23	15.3	17.5	-2.21
Tayshaun Prince	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	11	-13	14.8	16.2	-1.37	16.5	16.2	0.35
Richard Hamilton	52	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.11	-1	10	-11	16.0	15.9	0.04	15.7	17.1	-1.45
Zeljko Rebraca	43	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	12	-15	16.0	15.9	0.06	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Chauncey Billups	44	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	15	-21	16.3	15.6	0.64	15.1	17.4	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.8%
CHI 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.5%
MIN 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%