NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	4.4 [914]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (SAC): +9.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	112		Comeback	1.5 [859]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -13.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.05	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	-0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Webber	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	16	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	18	58%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	7	44%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	12	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	18	52%	0.08	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	-0.04	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	-0.04	18	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	28.1	15.7	28.5	2.3	29.3	128.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +26.3%

MIL +13.1%

MIL +8.2%

MIL +3.1%

SAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.9	15.2	97.2	105.7	101.7
season	13.8	14.9		102.9	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.7		105.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.0	14.3	10.7	16.1	13.2
MIL	13.3	12.3	16.0	13.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-15	22	11.9	13.3	-1.39	13.0	14.0	-0.97
Corliss Williamson	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-7	6	11.5	14.8	-3.23	14.7	13.1	1.66
Jon Barry	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	18.3	11.6	6.68	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Darrick Martin	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-10	12	16.0	12.2	3.85	13.4	14.1	-0.62
Lawrence Funderburke	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-6	4	16.3	11.3	5.06	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Scot Pollard	54	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-11	14	14.1	12.2	1.81	15.4	12.4	2.94
Chris Webber	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	3	-14	12.2	14.1	-1.81	12.4	15.4	-2.94
Vlade Divac	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	11.3	16.3	-5.06	13.9	13.8	0.06
Jason Williams	80	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	12.2	16.0	-3.85	14.1	13.4	0.62
Nick Anderson	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.02	-12	4	-16	11.6	16.7	-5.16	14.1	13.5	0.53
Tyrone Corbin	54	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	14.8	11.5	3.23	13.1	14.7	-1.66

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	83	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-7	22	13.3	16.0	-2.64	12.1	16.5	-4.33
Ervin Johnson	78	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	4	0	13.4	15.1	-1.66	13.3	12.8	0.51
Tim Thomas	56	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	3	2	14.9	12.8	2.13	14.6	11.5	3.04
Ray Allen	77	77	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	5	-2	13.5	14.9	-1.34	13.0	13.6	-0.61
Darvin Ham	29	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-1	10	13.1	14.2	-1.13	13.2	13.2	0.00
Scott Williams	68	67	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-1	10	13.8	14.1	-0.30	12.0	15.1	-3.18
Glenn Robinson	82	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	4	0	13.9	14.0	-0.09	13.0	13.7	-0.78
Vinny Del Negro	52	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	10	-12	15.3	12.5	2.86	14.9	11.3	3.60
Robert Traylor	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	15	-22	16.0	13.8	2.22	14.0	13.1	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 84, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIA 91, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	96.0%
POR 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%