NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	3.3 [1151]		MVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): +12.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.5 [982]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -16.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.01	0.06	15	73%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	13	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	20	40%	-0.11	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	15	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	23	48%	0.05	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	78%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	29.4	15.7	28.4	2.6	27.0	128.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.5%

CLE +9.6%

CLE +1.1%

CLE +4.4%

CLE +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.6	94.4	110.0	104.4
season	16.6	16.2		99.4	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.6	14.2	15.3	15.2	15.7
CLE	17.4	15.8	15.3	17.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	28	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-17	19	13.0	17.0	-3.97	17.2	16.0	1.23
Martell Webster	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-9	3	16.8	14.9	1.87	16.6	16.3	0.33
Viktor Khryapa	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-9	3	17.2	15.0	2.13	15.8	16.7	-0.97
Jarrett Jack	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-6	-3	14.3	16.6	-2.25	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Joel Przybilla	27	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	-2	-11	19.5	14.1	5.40	16.9	16.3	0.64
Brian Skinner	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-13	11	14.4	18.0	-3.67	16.1	17.1	-1.04
Steve Blake	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	16.7	13.9	2.83	17.1	15.2	1.88
Sebastian Telfair	51	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-10	5	14.7	17.1	-2.37	16.1	16.9	-0.83
Darius Miles	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-6	-3	14.7	19.1	-4.36	16.2	17.3	-1.09
Zach Randolph	59	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.05	-17	2	-19	17.0	13.1	3.90	17.1	15.4	1.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	1	13	16.1	21.0	-4.93	16.2	9.7	6.52
Ronald Murray	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	0	15	16.7	15.7	1.02	16.5	13.3	3.19
Eric Snow	55	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	1	13	16.6	16.3	0.32	15.2	16.6	-1.36
Drew Gooden	67	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	1	13	17.1	14.6	2.54	16.1	14.7	1.38
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	9	-3	17.2	15.4	1.88	17.6	12.9	4.66
Donyell Marshall	30	31	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	9	-3	14.8	17.3	-2.48	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Damon Jones	54	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	14	-13	15.9	17.2	-1.28	15.8	15.6	0.26
Anderson Varejao	31	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	11	-7	15.3	17.1	-1.73	12.4	17.3	-4.95
Sasha Pavlovic	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	14	-13	21.0	16.1	4.93	9.7	16.2	-6.52
Stephen Graham	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	17.7	16.4	1.25	5.7	16.1	-10.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NOH 71, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIA 91, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	96.3%