NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	7.8 [280]		MVP	Scott Burrell (NJN): +33.6%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.6 [771]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -39.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.15	0.19	0.00	7	100%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.09	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	12	53%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.4	-0.06	-0.35	-0.01	20	52%	-0.02	5	-0.38	4	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	0.01	11	86%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	53%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.07
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.08	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.7	30.2	15.6	24.5	1.8	39.0	135.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.9%

NYK +1.9%

NJN -20.3%

NYK +25.9%

NYK +11.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	16.8	15.2	103.5	105.9	101.7
season	15.5	16.1		102.1	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.7		98.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.5	18.5	17.3	20.2	16.9
NYK	18.2	15.0	15.5	18.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	14	16	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-8	15	17.1	16.8	0.34	18.5	16.4	2.07
Jamie Feick	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	7	-15	20.0	16.2	3.75	15.4	17.1	-1.76
Kerry Kittles	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-2	3	15.7	20.3	-4.59	16.9	16.7	0.15
Jim McIlvaine	58	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-1	1	16.0	18.6	-2.54	17.0	16.5	0.48
Lucious Harris	15	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	9	-19	22.4	15.7	6.71	17.1	16.8	0.29
Kendall Gill	71	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.49	8	-9	17	15.7	22.5	-6.87	16.9	16.4	0.55
Johnny Newman	20	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.28	-2	1	-3	20.3	15.8	4.48	16.1	17.1	-0.93
Scott Burrell	32	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	2	-5	20.4	14.7	5.70	16.5	17.0	-0.45
Keith Van Horn	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-5	9	15.5	20.2	-4.70	17.1	16.1	1.00
Stephon Marbury	79	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	1	-3	16.5	20.7	-4.20	16.5	19.6	-3.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	23	23	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.42	13	-12	25	14.2	17.8	-3.63	20.4	15.6	4.82
Latrell Sprewell	72	73	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-10	21	17.0	15.9	1.06	17.3	14.3	3.01
Marcus Camby	46	42	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.62	-4	5	-9	16.4	17.3	-0.89	18.0	15.8	2.18
Larry Johnson	64	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	1	-1	16.9	16.7	0.21	16.4	18.4	-2.00
Patrick Ewing	55	59	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	-2	5	17.4	15.7	1.74	16.1	18.5	-2.36
Allan Houston	73	74	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	7	-13	16.9	16.5	0.38	16.1	21.7	-5.59
Kurt Thomas	29	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	3	-5	16.2	17.1	-0.94	18.5	16.1	2.36
Charlie Ward	63	64	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.02	-10	11	-21	17.5	14.8	2.77	15.7	20.3	-4.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	91.4%
POR 100, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.71,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.84,0.42,1	91.4%
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	91.1%