NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	9.5 [80]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +22.5%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	2.0 [215]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -33.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.22	0.04	0.18	0.00	29	59%	0.42	4	-0.19	8	62%	-0.04
Dana Barros	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	14	43%	-0.08	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.01	6	50%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	13	39%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.06,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	13	54%	0.10	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.06
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	6	29%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31	-0.31	-0.14	-0.22	-0.05	10	43%	-0.08	4	-0.23	8	62%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.1,-0.33	-0.33	-0.18	-0.16	-0.01	16	41%	-0.04	5	-0.29	9	78%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	25.5	14.7	24.5	1.7	40.6	133.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +50.6%

NJN -15.7%

NJN -11.7%

BOS +29.4%

NJN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	15.2	99.0	97.0	101.7
season	14.7	15.5		102.4	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.1		103.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	14.2	14.6	14.8	14.0
NJN	14.6	15.8	14.8	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	95	93	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	14.1	13.6	0.45	15.0	13.2	1.87
Calbert Cheaney	91	90	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-9	21	13.7	17.4	-3.75	15.2	12.2	2.97
Vitaly Potapenko	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	1	1	14.2	13.8	0.36	15.0	14.8	0.19
Dana Barros	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-4	11	13.2	14.5	-1.33	15.6	14.5	1.15
Kenny Anderson	38	37	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	2	-1	14.2	13.9	0.33	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Paul Pierce	74	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	9	-15	14.9	11.5	3.37	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Doug Overton	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	7	-11	13.8	14.2	-0.34	15.1	14.8	0.27
Danny Fortson	15	15	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-3	9	13.9	14.1	-0.19	15.7	14.8	0.96
Walter McCarty	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	13.8	14.1	-0.29	13.8	15.2	-1.47
Tony Battie	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	13.7	14.1	-0.36	14.1	15.1	-1.07

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	15.7	14.4	1.36	13.4	14.4	-1.02
Elliot Perry	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	2	-7	19.4	14.1	5.28	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Lucious Harris	21	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	1	-5	15.3	14.8	0.53	14.3	13.9	0.36
Jamie Feick	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-9	15	14.0	16.2	-2.25	14.6	13.2	1.37
Scott Burrell	23	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	16.5	14.4	2.09	13.2	14.3	-1.03
Keith Van Horn	76	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	14.4	16.5	-2.09	14.3	13.2	1.03
Michael Cage	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	6	-15	16.2	14.0	2.25	13.2	14.6	-1.37
Kerry Kittles	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-4	5	14.8	15.3	-0.53	13.9	14.3	-0.36
Stephon Marbury	84	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-5	7	14.1	19.4	-5.28	14.0	14.0	0.04
Kendall Gill	60	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-3	3	14.4	15.7	-1.36	14.4	13.4	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.1,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	92.0%
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	91.9%
ATL 113, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.46,0.37,0.59,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.42,0	91.5%