NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	5.6 [689]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +18.5%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	1.9 [720]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -12.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	13	71%	0.12	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.04	0.05	15	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	10	38%	-0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	25	45%	-0.07	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	-0.01	18	69%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	16	71%	0.16	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.03
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	63%	0.09	5	-0.14	16	81%	0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	5.2	25.7	16.4	27.5	1.8	41.2	141.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +29.6%

DET +13.9%

DET +9.9%

NYK -7.1%

DET +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	13.3	15.2	111.3	117.5	101.7
season	16.1	14.1		100.0	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.8		103.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	16.5	18.3	15.5	16.4
DET	14.0	12.9	13.8	12.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-9	12	15.5	17.2	-1.68	12.0	14.5	-2.53
Patrick Ewing	63	64	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-11	16	16.3	16.5	-0.17	13.5	13.0	0.45
Larry Johnson	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-12	18	17.3	14.5	2.78	14.6	10.9	3.71
Latrell Sprewell	84	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-3	0	15.9	19.3	-3.40	13.3	13.4	-0.10
Allan Houston	89	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-4	2	16.1	19.6	-3.56	13.1	15.9	-2.82
Chris Childs	40	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	5	-16	16.7	16.1	0.66	13.7	13.0	0.70
Marcus Camby	59	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	5	-16	16.9	15.5	1.42	13.5	13.1	0.34
Kurt Thomas	39	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	11	-28	16.4	16.3	0.04	12.6	13.8	-1.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-2	10	13.3	13.3	0.06	17.1	14.5	2.57
Lindsey Hunter	78	78	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-7	20	13.1	14.5	-1.42	16.3	16.5	-0.14
Jerome Williams	60	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	12.9	14.0	-1.08	15.8	17.2	-1.43
Grant Hill	88	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	3	0	13.0	16.4	-3.43	16.2	17.7	-1.49
Jerry Stackhouse	76	77	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	2	2	13.2	14.0	-0.79	16.0	17.6	-1.62
Michael Curry	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	0	6	13.1	13.5	-0.39	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Loy Vaught	13	14	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	17.2	12.7	4.50	18.9	15.9	2.92
John Crotty	19	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	11	-16	14.5	13.1	1.42	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Terry Mills	46	44	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	17	-28	13.8	12.9	0.94	17.0	15.9	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
MIA 72, SAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.95,1,1	92.4%
LAC 97, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.3%