NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	5.9 [609]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +31.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	102		Comeback	2.5 [715]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -18.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.04	13	72%	0.08	3	-0.10	10	100%	0.05
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.04	0.09	20	56%	-0.08	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.05
Eddie House	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	22	43%	-0.14	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.28	0.08	0.04	23	76%	0.32	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	74%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	5	36%	0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	39.7	2.0	34.2	15.8	25.1	1.7	30.2	148.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +79.5%

LAC -14.0%

LAC -19.7%

SEA +7.6%

LAC -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.7	107.8	113.3	100.5
season	15.5	15.6		101.3	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	17.7	18.4	15.7	16.7
SEA	16.2	13.6	16.6	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-4	3	19.0	16.5	2.54	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Chris Wilcox	38	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	16.7	16.7	0.08	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Chris Kaman	30	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-2	-1	18.6	15.7	2.82	16.8	14.5	2.33
Marko Jaric	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-6	7	15.8	19.1	-3.32	15.4	15.0	0.48
Eddie House	24	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	1	-7	19.1	15.8	3.32	15.0	15.4	-0.48
Quentin Richardson	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-6	7	16.2	20.4	-4.19	15.6	13.2	2.38
Matt Barnes	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-3	1	15.9	17.8	-1.90	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Elton Brand	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	16.6	17.5	-0.90	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Corey Maggette	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	2	-9	16.9	15.6	1.32	14.9	17.5	-2.51

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	44	43	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.12	22	-17	39	15.1	15.5	-0.34	15.9	17.4	-1.45
Ray Allen	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.29	10	-5	15	14.8	18.1	-3.27	17.4	12.6	4.79
Antonio Daniels	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	14.3	16.5	-2.12	16.4	17.1	-0.72
Rashard Lewis	76	75	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	2	1	15.5	14.1	1.47	16.2	19.0	-2.77
Brent Barry	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	2	1	15.5	14.5	0.99	16.2	18.4	-2.20
Calvin Booth	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-1	7	16.5	14.6	1.85	18.4	15.7	2.64
Ronald Murray	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	8	-11	16.1	14.9	1.15	16.5	16.8	-0.29
Ansu Sesay	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	9	-13	0.5	15.6	-15.15	9.5	16.9	-7.35
Vladimir Radmanovic	29	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	7	-9	14.9	15.5	-0.56	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Reggie Evans	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	13	-21	15.7	15.2	0.48	15.8	16.9	-1.07
Jerome James	25	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	11	-17	16.7	14.8	1.90	19.2	15.7	3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
SAC 88, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 92, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.97,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%