inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 92 Excitement5.2 [770] MVPAndrei Kirilenko (MIN): +15.2%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback2.6 [838] LVPAlexey Shved (MIN): -17.7%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0.150,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.140.020.011669%0.1500.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lou Amundson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06386%0.0000.0010%-0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.01-0.04948%0.053-0.053100%0.02
Greg Stiemsma-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.031348%0.033-0.061100%0.01
Derrick Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.010.04650%-0.041-0.01475%0.01
Kevin Love-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.001039%-0.063-0.07887%0.02
Nikola Pekovic-0.160,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.001947%0.026-0.1800%0.00
Alexey Shved-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.05-0.03712%-0.123-0.0620%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.04-0.011854%0.1400.00580%0.02
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.030.00786%0.151-0.0400%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.010.021462%0.111-0.041173%0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.011065%0.123-0.06367%-0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02662%0.0400.001100%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00856%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.01-0.03747%0.032-0.023100%0.02
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.831.716.027.71.827.6130.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +51.1%
MIA +6.8%
MIN -39.2%
MIA +28.2%
MIA +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMIANBAMINMIANBA
this game16.515.515.4102.2114.4104.1
season15.615.7101.3110.2
opponent15.914.9102.4103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.116.618.015.116.5
MIA16.612.714.718.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lou Amundson1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-192713.616.9-3.2621.814.57.31
Greg Stiemsma1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-192713.616.9-3.2621.814.57.31
Dante Cunningham3734-0.13-0.370.240.04-6-5-116.416.5-0.1115.115.7-0.57
Jose Juan Barea4749-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-8515.118.0-2.9216.014.91.05
Derrick Williams4141-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-2-716.116.9-0.7815.115.8-0.69
Andrei Kirilenko5757-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-5-116.915.81.0815.415.7-0.31
Alexey Shved5859-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-7316.217.0-0.7815.815.00.76
Luke Ridnour6261-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.09-8-3-517.115.12.0715.016.5-1.50
Kevin Love6364-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-154-1917.214.92.3014.019.3-5.30
Nikola Pekovic6361-0.530.03-0.560.06-209-2917.414.33.1015.016.5-1.50

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James78770.54-0.040.570.1812-11315.714.21.5416.615.80.85
Dwyane Wade51520.50-0.000.500.0316-52113.917.6-3.6917.914.63.32
Mario Chalmers41430.340.160.190.05101915.215.8-0.6018.015.12.96
Chris Bosh51520.300.200.100.0974315.116.1-1.0216.916.00.87
Shane Battier56560.290.200.090.0683515.914.90.9515.418.2-2.79
Udonis Haslem33330.210.29-0.070.1047-314.915.8-0.9318.215.52.61
Joel Anthony38370.200.30-0.100.1138-516.414.81.5915.817.0-1.26
Norris Cole49470.160.34-0.190.13110-915.815.20.6015.118.0-2.96
Ray Allen3938-0.000.50-0.500.15-516-2117.613.93.6914.617.9-3.32
Mike Miller1415-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-112-1313.415.9-2.4516.716.50.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.97,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 64, UTA 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
CLE 83, OKC 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
SAC 88, PHX 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.4%