inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 102 Excitement7.8 [278] MVPMuggsy Bogues (TOR): +14.8%
Toronto Raptors 108 Comeback2.2 [669] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -24.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Doleac0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.05-0.021169%0.161-0.02786%0.02
Pat Garrity0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.03850%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.01371%0.011-0.031100%0.00
Corey Maggette-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.011268%0.084-0.111090%0.04
Bo Outlaw-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.05-0.00450%-0.041-0.03250%-0.04
Anthony Parker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.01450%0.052-0.1200%0.00
John Amaechi-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.01233%-0.023-0.072100%0.01
Chris Gatling-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15-0.03-0.12-0.00764%0.013-0.168100%0.06
Chucky Atkins-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.011030%-0.044-0.1100%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.24-0.09-0.090.061062%-0.067-0.184100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.150.150.070.07-0.011071%0.181-0.041191%0.02
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.050.00876%0.162-0.07580%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.012355%0.062-0.06989%0.05
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00658%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.110.00-0.031030%-0.003-0.0800%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.040.00743%-0.033-0.0800%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.090.011050%-0.034-0.142100%0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.080.011137%-0.132-0.06540%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.22.430.518.326.62.445.7156.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +13.6%
ORL -12.4%
TOR +27.5%
TOR +19.4%
TOR +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game13.414.315.299.0102.9101.7
season13.615.5100.4101.8
opponent14.915.4102.199.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL12.015.413.712.613.4
TOR14.113.415.114.514.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad64670.01-0.510.51-0.145-111612.914.2-1.2313.915.0-1.10
Ben Wallace5862-0.03-0.470.43-0.123-91213.213.6-0.4514.114.6-0.56
John Amaechi3434-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-5413.713.20.5213.014.9-1.92
Corey Maggette1614-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-2-215.613.02.5716.613.92.71
Bo Outlaw6670-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-7813.213.8-0.6214.813.31.51
Pat Garrity2829-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-4212.113.9-1.8110.215.9-5.70
Darrell Armstrong6568-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.22-2-4212.714.6-1.9712.617.5-4.89
Michael Doleac5656-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-5414.312.32.0117.210.96.33
Chris Gatling4341-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.16-93-1214.112.91.2515.213.71.56
Chucky Atkins4747-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-93-1213.113.7-0.6014.813.90.85
Anthony Parker3837-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.16-115-1614.113.01.0915.013.91.13

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter93900.58-0.080.660.2910-41414.116.2-2.1113.115.1-1.93
Muggsy Bogues55570.51-0.010.510.307-1815.313.22.1713.613.10.47
Antonio Davis82810.340.160.180.48-511-1614.115.1-1.0713.313.6-0.26
Doug Christie74720.330.170.160.2724-213.316.6-3.2913.213.8-0.60
Charles Oakley69670.290.210.080.35-28-1014.314.3-0.0612.614.9-2.39
Michael Stewart21190.280.220.06-0.0411-51614.514.20.2315.113.02.11
Alvin Williams46430.150.35-0.190.0633012.915.4-2.4213.013.7-0.67
Kevin Willis36370.050.45-0.39-0.0642215.413.71.7514.812.62.22
Tracy McGrady4949-0.030.53-0.56-0.0306-615.812.92.8913.713.10.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 69, NJN 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.59,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.9,0.99,192.8%
PHX 73, MIN 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.98,192.5%
PHI 90, DEN 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.83,192.4%