NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	73		Excitement	7.0 [391]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +27.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Comeback	2.1 [742]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): -22.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	18	49%	0.13	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.02	-0.02	16	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Delk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	11	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	0	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.07
Clifford Robinson	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.25	-0.04	-0.06	14	20%	-0.12	5	-0.11	2	0%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.23	0.02	16	74%	0.37	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.22,-0.29,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	17	37%	-0.06	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	0.3	27.0	15.8	25.2	2.4	30.8	124.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +49.8%

PHX -0.7%

PHX -2.3%

MIN +1.3%

MIN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.5	76.0	89.1	100.9
season	14.9	15.0		97.7	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.7	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.5	13.4	17.9	16.5	16.2
MIN	13.2	13.8	14.0	17.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	15	15	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.11	13	-22	35	18.1	15.8	2.33	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Mario Elie	62	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-10	11	15.7	17.0	-1.34	13.6	15.9	-2.25
Corie Blount	25	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-8	7	17.1	15.8	1.23	15.4	14.1	1.27
Elliot Perry	58	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.02	-10	1	-11	16.4	15.8	0.62	14.5	14.4	0.11
Shawn Marion	82	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-8	7	16.3	15.4	0.86	14.6	13.3	1.27
Jake Tsakalidis	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	5	-19	17.4	15.2	2.18	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Tony Delk	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	0	-9	15.6	16.8	-1.17	14.5	14.4	0.13
Clifford Robinson	74	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	3	-15	16.1	16.5	-0.43	14.9	13.0	1.86
Rodney Rogers	70	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.18	-12	3	-15	15.3	18.6	-3.36	14.6	14.0	0.54

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	49	53	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-6	21	14.6	14.2	0.38	16.1	16.3	-0.25
Terrell Brandon	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	3	3	14.0	16.2	-2.22	16.4	15.4	0.94
Kevin Garnett	75	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.23	4	5	-1	14.6	13.9	0.68	16.9	13.3	3.55
Sam Mitchell	30	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-1	11	14.0	14.6	-0.60	16.2	16.1	0.06
Todd Day	40	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	3	3	13.8	14.9	-1.08	16.0	16.3	-0.38
Anthony Peeler	52	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	6	-3	14.9	13.8	1.08	16.3	16.0	0.38
Wally Szczerbiak	62	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	10	-11	14.6	14.0	0.60	16.1	16.2	-0.06
Rasho Nesterovic	31	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	14.4	14.5	-0.07	16.1	16.2	-0.17
Reggie Slater	16	16	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	5	-1	12.8	14.8	-1.96	11.1	17.2	-6.13
William Avery	18	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	6	-3	16.2	14.0	2.22	15.4	16.4	-0.94
Dean Garrett	13	12	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.09	-10	19	-29	15.2	14.3	0.84	19.2	15.7	3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	93.1%
ORL 102, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.92,1	92.5%
NOP 102, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.85,1	92.3%