NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	8.7 [134]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +12.4%
Denver Nuggets	93		Comeback	1.5 [345]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -33.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	29	55%	0.18	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.06
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	11	52%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	1	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.09
Eric Snow	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.25,-0.33,-0.28,-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	0.00	11	27%	-0.24	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.34	-0.09	-0.25	-0.00	12	31%	-0.28	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	8	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	10	60%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.16,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	-0.02	31	49%	0.00	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.16
James Posey	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29	-0.29	-0.06	-0.21	0.01	12	43%	-0.21	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.5	15.6	23.6	2.4	37.4	133.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +36.9%

PHI -14.2%

DEN +35.7%

DEN +1.0%

PHI -9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.0	16.7	15.6	97.8	103.3	102.3
season	15.9	16.1		99.3	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	18.3	13.8	14.3	15.0
DEN	15.4	14.6	17.0	20.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	39	39	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.21	0	-3	3	13.9	15.8	-1.94	15.5	17.6	-2.10
Speedy Claxton	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	14.3	15.2	-0.88	16.1	16.8	-0.71
Corie Blount	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-1	-1	15.9	14.7	1.22	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Raja Bell	14	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-3	3	11.9	15.6	-3.69	18.1	16.5	1.62
Aaron McKie	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	1	-5	15.5	14.3	1.13	17.0	16.2	0.85
Derrick Coleman	70	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	15.6	13.0	2.67	16.5	17.4	-0.91
Allen Iverson	92	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.0	0.0	14.99	16.7	0.0	16.68
Eric Snow	65	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	-2	1	15.5	13.7	1.87	17.1	15.8	1.29
Dikembe Mutombo	85	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.52	-3	0	-3	14.7	19.0	-4.34	16.9	13.0	3.94

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	62	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.62	3	0	3	16.6	16.9	-0.36	15.6	13.6	2.00
Avery Johnson	55	59	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.54	5	-2	7	17.1	16.0	1.11	14.0	16.8	-2.85
Nick Van Exel	84	85	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-5	13	16.8	15.5	1.26	15.2	12.6	2.62
James Posey	62	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	4	-5	17.3	15.2	2.07	14.0	17.5	-3.55
Raef LaFrentz	47	51	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.50	-1	4	-5	17.5	15.7	1.79	13.9	16.4	-2.48
Shawnelle Scott	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	2	-1	9.7	17.2	-7.51	15.6	15.0	0.65
Scott Williams	64	65	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	0	3	16.7	16.7	-0.07	15.2	14.5	0.72
Calbert Cheaney	28	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	-1	5	15.2	17.3	-2.07	17.5	14.0	3.55
Voshon Lenard	42	40	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.23	-7	10	-17	16.2	17.1	-0.91	16.1	14.2	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	93.0%
CHI 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.77,0.98,1	92.6%
CLE 99, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.84,0.91,1	92.6%