NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	120		Excitement	5.6 [692]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +26.9%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	4.1 [263]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -8.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.11	0.01	23	69%	0.29	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.03
John Crotty	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	6	64%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Mills	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	17	68%	0.13	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.02	-0.04	19	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.00	5	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	4	110%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	21	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	58%	-0.00	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.3	15.8	34.2	1.8	35.1	142.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +1.9%

DET +23.2%

DET +8.6%

DET +14.3%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.2	130.4	118.7	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.2	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.5	14.4	13.8	15.7	15.0
ATL	17.0	13.9	16.2	19.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	82	80	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.07	20	-8	28	14.8	16.7	-1.88	16.9	13.3	3.63
Christian Laettner	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	1	10	14.9	15.6	-0.69	16.6	15.5	1.14
John Crotty	42	41	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	5	2	14.2	15.7	-1.49	17.0	16.0	0.94
Jerome Williams	30	30	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	6	0	14.7	15.2	-0.53	17.8	15.8	1.95
Michael Curry	32	32	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	10	-8	14.2	15.5	-1.33	16.7	16.3	0.40
Terry Mills	63	62	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	3	6	15.8	13.4	2.40	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Jerry Stackhouse	70	70	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	10	-8	15.7	13.0	2.66	15.8	18.5	-2.68
Lindsey Hunter	50	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	7	-2	15.7	14.2	1.49	16.0	17.0	-0.94
Eric Montross	14	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	14	-16	13.0	15.4	-2.38	14.2	16.8	-2.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	20	20	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-14	16	14.3	17.1	-2.71	15.8	14.8	1.06
Dikembe Mutombo	76	77	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-11	10	16.1	18.3	-2.24	15.2	14.1	1.06
Alan Henderson	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-3	-6	16.1	16.9	-0.78	15.0	15.0	0.04
Bimbo Coles	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	16.9	15.6	1.30	15.8	13.7	2.06
Chris Crawford	27	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-11	10	17.9	15.9	1.98	14.1	15.4	-1.26
Jason Terry	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-10	8	15.4	16.9	-1.45	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Lorenzen Wright	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-7	2	16.2	16.6	-0.36	15.3	14.9	0.45
Isaiah Rider	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-1	-10	16.6	15.9	0.65	15.0	15.0	-0.04
LaPhonso Ellis	30	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	-3	-6	18.2	15.6	2.59	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Jim Jackson	70	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.10	-19	7	-26	16.4	16.7	-0.33	14.8	15.6	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%
LAL 90, MIN 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%
UTA 102, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%