NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	5.3 [784]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (MIN): +8.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	79		Comeback	2.2 [847]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -17.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	44%	0.04	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	58%	0.09	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.02	0.04	0.06	18	55%	0.08	3	-0.09	8	87%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	10	27%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	17	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Lazar Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.05	0.02	18	37%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	24.2	15.7	25.0	2.4	32.4	126.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +14.4%

LAL +11.3%

LAL +21.8%

LAL +3.2%

MIN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.7	14.7	15.5	101.1	88.8	105.7
season	15.9	14.3		108.8	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.3	17.2	16.8	17.6	17.7
MIN	14.3	14.7	15.9	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	57	57	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-4	19	17.7	17.8	-0.11	14.8	14.4	0.43
Luke Walton	24	23	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	18.4	17.4	0.97	15.7	14.3	1.41
Steve Blake	33	33	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	2	7	18.0	17.6	0.42	15.2	14.4	0.79
Shannon Brown	31	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	4	3	17.9	17.6	0.30	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Pau Gasol	68	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	6	-1	18.0	16.9	1.11	14.2	16.0	-1.76
Kobe Bryant	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	7	-3	17.6	17.9	-0.30	14.7	14.5	0.21
Andrew Bynum	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	9	-7	17.4	18.1	-0.72	15.0	14.1	0.91
Derek Fisher	56	56	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	9	-7	17.6	18.0	-0.42	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Metta World Peace	65	66	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	17.4	18.4	-0.97	14.3	15.7	-1.41

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	16	16	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-17	23	13.0	15.0	-2.01	20.8	17.0	3.79
Michael Beasley	71	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	14.8	14.2	0.54	17.5	18.6	-1.13
Wayne Ellington	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-11	11	12.5	15.4	-2.93	17.0	17.9	-0.94
Kevin Love	67	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	15.0	13.5	1.59	17.8	17.3	0.49
Darko Milicic	46	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	14.6	14.7	-0.18	17.0	18.5	-1.48
Anthony Tolliver	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	12.6	15.3	-2.74	17.0	17.9	-0.99
Luke Ridnour	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	14.7	14.5	0.18	18.2	16.7	1.52
Jonny Flynn	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	14.5	14.7	-0.18	16.7	18.2	-1.52
Wesley Johnson	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	0	-11	15.4	12.5	2.93	17.9	17.0	0.94
Anthony Randolph	26	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	1	-13	16.4	13.9	2.45	17.0	18.0	-0.97
Lazar Hayward	19	20	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	2	-15	14.5	14.7	-0.23	18.9	17.4	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 116, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
HOU 90, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.15,0	93.4%
DET 120, ATL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.4%