NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	6.0 [620]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +19.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	3.4 [172]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -20.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	0.01	16	69%	0.21	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.04	20	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
John Stockton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
John Crotty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	66%	0.06	2	-0.05	16	81%	0.03
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harold Jamison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.03	-0.04	19	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	11	54%	0.04	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	25%	-0.05
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	12	54%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	9	15%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	36.4	140.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +10.2%

UTA +10.7%

UTA +0.3%

UTA +28.7%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.6	109.7	90.5	102.3
season	16.1	15.9		102.9	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	15.5	16.5	15.3	16.0
LAC	15.9	12.8	15.5	14.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	39	40	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.00	25	-9	34	15.1	16.7	-1.61	13.9	15.2	-1.28
DeShawn Stevenson	58	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-3	22	15.4	17.0	-1.63	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Karl Malone	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.06	18	-2	20	15.8	16.8	-1.03	15.1	13.2	1.84
Andrei Kirilenko	51	53	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.05	18	-2	20	16.3	15.6	0.67	14.2	15.2	-1.07
John Crotty	38	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	7	2	15.8	16.1	-0.33	13.7	15.3	-1.67
John Stockton	64	64	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	6	4	16.2	15.5	0.77	15.2	13.5	1.67
Donyell Marshall	67	68	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	10	-4	16.1	15.7	0.50	15.2	13.3	1.83
Quincy Lewis	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	18	-20	16.5	16.0	0.50	17.1	14.3	2.77
John Starks	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	20	-24	17.5	15.7	1.82	14.2	14.7	-0.53
Greg Ostertag	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	20	-24	17.1	15.9	1.22	10.8	15.1	-4.29
Jarron Collins	41	41	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.07	-15	31	-46	16.5	15.7	0.81	15.3	14.1	1.14

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	51	52	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-20	24	16.5	12.4	4.12	17.2	14.6	2.59
Harold Jamison	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.2	14.8	-1.52	17.7	15.8	1.90
Obinna Ekezie	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	11.0	14.9	-3.89	17.3	15.9	1.38
Michael Olowokandi	50	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-15	14	15.6	13.6	1.98	16.7	15.2	1.49
Lamar Odom	74	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-10	4	14.4	15.4	-0.95	16.3	15.1	1.18
Earl Boykins	24	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-6	-4	13.1	15.2	-2.09	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Sean Rooks	22	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-15	14	11.9	15.5	-3.62	17.6	15.6	1.97
Elton Brand	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	1	-18	15.6	12.7	2.85	15.4	17.4	-2.04
Jeff McInnis	78	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-9	2	15.2	12.2	2.93	16.1	15.5	0.67
Darius Miles	53	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.03	-20	4	-24	13.9	15.6	-1.75	14.7	17.6	-2.85
Quentin Richardson	46	44	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.06	-23	7	-30	13.4	15.8	-2.43	15.0	16.9	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.01,0	93.6%
DET 120, ATL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.2%
DAL 100, NOP 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%