NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	12.3 [10]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +94.2%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	10.7 [142]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -61.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	10	54%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Bimbo Coles	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.12,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	16	47%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	43%	0.02	2	-0.12	8	87%	0.11
Chris Crawford	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.12	0.03	12	39%	-0.19	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.08
Jim Jackson	-0.44	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.44	-0.09	-0.36	-0.01	27	46%	-0.30	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.94	0.94	0.17	0.78	0.01	9	94%	0.94	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.09	0.03	22	63%	0.20	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.29
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	1	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.12
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.34,-0.34,-0.43,-0.58,-0.58,-0.51,-0.51,-0.62,-0.62	-0.62	-0.21	-0.42	-0.01	25	40%	-0.41	5	-0.21	12	100%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	27.7	16.6	22.3	2.3	38.3	1.8	20.6	154.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +131.2%

ATL -42.8%

ATL -63.1%

DET +20.0%

DET +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	15.2	102.9	105.0	101.7
season	15.4	14.1		99.3	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	16.7	15.2	15.9	17.6	20.4	16.6
DET	14.6	11.9	15.4	16.7	17.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	29	27	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-7	13	15.3	17.1	-1.85	15.9	14.3	1.54
Anthony Johnson	26	24	0.09	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-3	5	13.3	17.7	-4.42	13.5	15.1	-1.66
Chris Crawford	58	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-5	9	17.2	15.8	1.37	15.1	14.3	0.77
Bimbo Coles	74	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.43	10	-11	21	17.2	14.9	2.30	15.0	14.0	0.99
Dikembe Mutombo	73	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-4	7	17.1	15.3	1.80	14.9	14.2	0.68
Jason Terry	34	34	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	17	-35	15.8	17.0	-1.25	12.9	15.7	-2.82
Jim Jackson	96	95	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	16.7	15.2	1.52	14.8	13.2	1.65
Alan Henderson	71	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	3	-7	17.1	15.4	1.69	14.5	15.3	-0.82
LaPhonso Ellis	49	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	4	-9	16.4	16.8	-0.44	15.1	14.3	0.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	60	61	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.75	11	-10	21	14.1	15.6	-1.53	16.7	16.4	0.27
Jerry Stackhouse	78	82	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-9	19	14.8	14.3	0.54	17.1	14.6	2.49
Jud Buechler	31	33	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-16	33	12.4	15.7	-3.32	17.0	16.4	0.55
Christian Laettner	52	53	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.49	-1	2	-3	15.8	13.6	2.16	17.3	15.9	1.39
Grant Hill	85	85	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	1	-1	14.4	16.3	-1.89	16.5	17.2	-0.76
John Crotty	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-3	7	14.7	14.7	0.04	16.0	16.8	-0.73
Lindsey Hunter	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	0	1	13.3	15.7	-2.39	16.2	16.9	-0.69
Eric Montross	10	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	9	-17	14.5	14.7	-0.25	13.1	16.9	-3.77
Michael Curry	41	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	9	-17	15.5	14.2	1.37	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Jerome Williams	50	50	-0.90	1.40	-2.30	-0.40	-17	18	-35	16.0	13.5	2.49	16.1	17.0	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.77,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.82,1	90.6%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	89.8%
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	89.2%