inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 105 Excitement12.3 [10] MVPTerry Mills (DET): +94.2%
Detroit Pistons 106 Comeback10.7 [142] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -61.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.120.020.10-0.001054%0.1200.00475%0.04
Bimbo Coles0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.030.04-0.02-0.021258%0.041-0.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.12,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,0.01-0.040.04-0.011647%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Anthony Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.00550%-0.002-0.072100%0.02
Jason Terry-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.060.00350%-0.031-0.062100%0.01
Alan Henderson-0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1-0.09-0.000.011143%0.022-0.12887%0.11
Chris Crawford-0.220,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.07-0.120.031239%-0.191-0.03425%-0.08
Jim Jackson-0.440,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.44-0.09-0.36-0.012746%-0.305-0.14250%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Mills0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.940.940.170.780.01994%0.9400.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.140.140.090.090.032263%0.202-0.06850%-0.29
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.030.011553%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01480%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.00333%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.070.00150%-0.0900.00425%-0.12
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.34,-0.34,-0.43,-0.58,-0.58,-0.51,-0.51,-0.62,-0.62-0.62-0.21-0.42-0.012540%-0.415-0.2112100%0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.82.327.716.622.32.338.31.820.6154.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +131.2%
ATL -42.8%
ATL -63.1%
DET +20.0%
DET +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDETNBAATLDETNBA
this game16.614.715.2102.9105.0101.7
season15.414.199.3104.2
opponent15.315.2103.0105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL16.715.215.917.620.416.6
DET14.611.915.416.717.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright29270.12-0.620.73-0.066-71315.317.1-1.8515.914.31.54
Anthony Johnson26240.09-0.580.670.032-3513.317.7-4.4213.515.1-1.66
Chris Crawford5855-0.14-0.360.23-0.254-5917.215.81.3715.114.30.77
Bimbo Coles7474-0.14-0.360.23-0.4310-112117.214.92.3015.014.00.99
Dikembe Mutombo7372-0.20-0.300.09-0.293-4717.115.31.8014.914.20.68
Jason Terry3434-0.510.01-0.520.02-1817-3515.817.0-1.2512.915.7-2.82
Jim Jackson9695-0.550.05-0.60-0.46-32-516.715.21.5214.813.21.65
Alan Henderson7171-0.580.08-0.66-0.46-43-717.115.41.6914.515.3-0.82
LaPhonso Ellis4953-0.590.09-0.67-0.44-54-916.416.8-0.4415.114.30.74

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Mills60611.08-0.581.650.7511-102114.115.6-1.5316.716.40.27
Jerry Stackhouse78820.79-0.291.080.5010-91914.814.30.5417.114.62.49
Jud Buechler31330.55-0.050.600.0517-163312.415.7-3.3217.016.40.55
Christian Laettner52530.460.040.410.49-12-315.813.62.1617.315.91.39
Grant Hill85850.390.110.270.3901-114.416.3-1.8916.517.2-0.76
John Crotty24240.140.36-0.220.024-3714.714.70.0416.016.8-0.73
Lindsey Hunter43440.070.43-0.350.0410113.315.7-2.3916.216.9-0.69
Eric Montross108-0.190.69-0.880.04-89-1714.514.7-0.2513.116.9-3.77
Michael Curry4139-0.260.76-1.01-0.02-89-1715.514.21.3716.216.9-0.68
Jerome Williams5050-0.901.40-2.30-0.40-1718-3516.013.52.4916.117.0-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.77,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 102, MEM 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.82,190.6%
DAL 86, SEA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,189.8%
MIA 89, LAC 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,189.2%