NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	7.9 [267]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +16.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	5.3 [140]		LVP	Tony Battie (BOS): -24.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	20	62%	0.06	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	17	52%	-0.05	3	-0.06	12	92%	0.05
Tony Battie	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	5	44%	-0.19	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.17

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.01	11	65%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	20	52%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	22	54%	0.24	4	-0.18	4	50%	-0.03
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	21%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
Eric Murdock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	-0.03	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	58%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	27.2	15.4	28.4	2.5	41.3	139.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +64.6%

BOS -23.9%

LAC +2.0%

LAC +8.3%

BOS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.2	104.2	107.3	101.7
season	14.7	15.6		102.4	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.1		107.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.1	14.6	13.6	14.7	14.0
LAC	14.6	18.1	17.0	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-2	1	10.8	14.3	-3.53	20.1	15.5	4.55
Danny Fortson	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	4	-11	17.8	13.2	4.60	12.8	16.6	-3.82
Vitaly Potapenko	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-6	9	14.4	13.7	0.74	16.4	15.7	0.71
Paul Pierce	68	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-10	17	14.0	13.9	0.17	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Eric Williams	43	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	7	-17	14.4	13.6	0.84	16.3	15.7	0.63
Tony Battie	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-3	3	12.1	16.2	-4.07	16.2	15.8	0.33
Dana Barros	15	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	5	-13	11.4	14.5	-3.06	17.5	15.7	1.82
Kenny Anderson	81	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-8	13	14.5	11.4	3.06	15.7	17.5	-1.82
Adrian Griffin	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	14.3	12.9	1.45	15.2	18.5	-3.31
Antoine Walker	85	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	1	-5	14.0	14.0	-0.02	16.4	13.1	3.36

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	37	35	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.50	5	-2	7	17.3	15.2	2.08	15.2	13.3	1.92
Tyrone Nesby	86	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-2	7	16.0	16.6	-0.65	14.1	13.1	0.98
Maurice Taylor	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	16.0	0.0	16.02	14.0	0.0	13.98
Lamar Odom	69	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-8	19	15.6	17.1	-1.57	14.3	13.1	1.14
Charles R. Jones	31	32	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	1	1	16.6	15.7	0.92	15.4	13.3	2.09
Eric Murdock	4	4	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-1	5	22.7	15.7	7.02	17.7	13.8	3.93
Eric Piatkowski	81	79	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	7	-11	16.0	16.2	-0.21	13.3	17.1	-3.81
Troy Hudson	76	76	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.21	-11	14	-25	15.3	18.7	-3.45	12.9	17.9	-4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	92.0%
UTA 97, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	92.0%
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	91.6%