NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	106		Excitement	8.7 [147]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +13.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	6.0 [339]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -33.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.02	19	62%	0.12	0	0.00	9	100%	0.07
Tyrone Nesby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	8	79%	0.25	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.04
Eric Piatkowski	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.06	14	76%	0.15	4	-0.16	9	100%	0.05
Eric Murdock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	11	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.05
Michael Olowokandi	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.20	-0.16	-0.02	14	21%	-0.25	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.02	10	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.08	0.07	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.09
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.07	11	75%	0.12	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	5	40%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	16	51%	-0.09	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.13	-0.19	0.00	14	50%	-0.01	6	-0.30	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	27.6	15.4	25.5	2.4	39.5	139.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.4%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +44.0%

LAC -17.4%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	11.7	15.2	99.1	103.7	101.7
season	15.6	14.1		95.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	14.3		101.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.0	16.9	15.3	15.3
CLE	13.1	11.1	13.7	9.2	11.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	32	31	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-9	13	13.7	15.9	-2.20	9.1	12.7	-3.60
Anthony Avent	3	4	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-5	5	13.7	15.3	-1.64	14.0	11.6	2.44
Keith Closs	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	0	-5	16.0	15.2	0.81	10.1	11.8	-1.68
Eric Murdock	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	0	-5	15.2	15.3	-0.06	10.9	12.0	-1.11
Lamar Odom	78	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	15.7	14.0	1.73	11.9	11.0	0.90
Michael Olowokandi	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-10	15	15.8	14.6	1.15	12.5	10.6	1.98
Troy Hudson	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	15.2	15.5	-0.27	11.7	11.5	0.17
Tyrone Nesby	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	2	-9	14.6	16.7	-2.12	11.4	12.2	-0.85
Maurice Taylor	77	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.47	-4	-1	-3	15.5	14.6	0.97	12.2	10.4	1.79
Derek Anderson	94	94	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	4	-13	15.4	14.2	1.26	11.8	10.5	1.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	60	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-12	29	11.5	11.8	-0.28	15.3	15.2	0.14
Brevin Knight	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.45	1	4	-3	10.8	13.3	-2.53	15.5	14.8	0.73
Shawn Kemp	59	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-6	17	11.6	11.7	-0.14	16.4	13.8	2.63
Mark Bryant	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	12.4	10.5	1.93	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Cedric Henderson	43	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	4	-3	10.1	12.7	-2.57	15.2	15.3	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	9	-13	12.3	11.0	1.30	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Lamond Murray	79	79	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	4	-3	11.9	11.0	0.89	14.9	16.2	-1.24
Bob Sura	62	62	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	8	-11	11.5	11.9	-0.37	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Wesley Person	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	4	-3	12.9	11.2	1.66	14.9	15.4	-0.45
Kornel David	15	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	10	-15	12.3	11.5	0.79	13.8	15.5	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.85,1	92.3%
BOS 100, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	92.0%
MEM 80, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.53,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	91.7%