NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	80		Excitement	8.0 [243]		MVP	Kosta Koufos (DEN): +21.4%
Denver Nuggets	87		Comeback	5.9 [340]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -30.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Wroten	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Quincy Pondexter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.3	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	13	39%	-0.08	7	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.00	9	75%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.06
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.13	-0.01	11	58%	0.19	1	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	52%	0.06	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	38%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.07
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	12	33%	-0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.5	16.3	25.5	1.4	40.3	136.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +44.2%

DEN +7.3%

MEM -9.3%

DEN +6.2%

DEN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	18.0	14.3	15.4	90.9	95.6	104.1
season	16.5	14.4		102.9	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.0	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.6	18.7	17.0	17.8	18.0
DEN	13.5	16.5	13.2	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	44	45	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.17	0	-7	7	19.6	16.4	3.25	15.8	12.8	2.97
Tony Wroten	16	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	16.7	18.3	-1.59	12.0	14.7	-2.70
Marc Gasol	74	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-6	5	18.0	17.8	0.24	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Ed Davis	20	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	17.3	18.2	-0.89	14.4	14.2	0.19
Mike Conley	70	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-6	5	18.2	17.0	1.24	14.6	12.9	1.61
Tayshaun Prince	66	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-6	5	17.6	19.3	-1.71	13.8	15.7	-1.88
Zach Randolph	70	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-7	7	18.6	15.5	3.13	14.9	11.9	2.91
Quincy Pondexter	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	6	-19	18.3	17.8	0.54	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Jerryd Bayless	44	47	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.46	-11	4	-15	16.0	19.9	-3.89	13.1	15.5	-2.33

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	48	48	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.22	18	-11	29	14.3	14.2	0.17	18.4	17.5	0.80
Andre Iguodala	68	65	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	0	7	13.4	16.9	-3.50	17.3	20.0	-2.78
Kosta Koufos	58	56	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	15.3	12.5	2.77	17.9	18.1	-0.12
Danilo Gallinari	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	15.4	11.5	3.91	17.7	18.8	-1.16
Kenneth Faried	34	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-2	11	15.4	13.6	1.85	19.1	17.3	1.77
Corey Brewer	45	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	1	5	12.8	15.7	-2.83	18.1	17.9	0.16
Ty Lawson	62	63	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.31	-5	12	-17	14.9	12.9	1.94	18.7	16.2	2.55
Wilson Chandler	50	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	12	-17	13.7	15.0	-1.27	17.0	19.1	-2.12
JaVale McGee	25	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	13	-19	11.9	15.2	-3.27	18.5	17.8	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.53,0.45,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.29,0.46,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.78,0.96,1	92.9%
MIL 86, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.98,1	92.4%
SAC 103, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.85,1	91.8%