NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	8.2 [246]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +56.2%
Atlanta Hawks	111		Comeback	8.8 [257]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -28.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.56	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56	0.32	0.26	0.02	31	64%	0.56	0	0.00	21	90%	0.11
Samuel Dalembert	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	10	25%	-0.24	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.07
Chris Webber	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29	-0.11	-0.22	-0.04	21	36%	-0.20	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.17	0.00	13	70%	0.40	2	-0.09	7	71%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.14	0.14	-0.04	0.14	-0.04	22	52%	0.23	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	72%	0.19	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	56%	0.13	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.08
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	18%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.6	25.6	15.8	26.2	1.8	41.7	137.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +93.9%

PHI -18.5%

PHI -4.5%

PHI -21.2%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	16.1	15.6	109.1	113.3	104.4
season	15.2	15.6		104.1	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	13.6	13.0	12.4	13.2
ATL	15.7	15.2	18.3	15.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	50	51	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-8	13	14.4	11.9	2.52	16.3	15.9	0.36
Lou Williams	6	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-5	7	16.0	13.0	3.01	17.6	16.0	1.60
Matt Barnes	14	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	0	-3	13.9	13.0	0.88	13.2	16.5	-3.29
Andre Iguodala	82	83	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-7	11	12.4	16.8	-4.34	16.7	12.5	4.27
Kyle Korver	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.50	5	-8	13	12.5	14.9	-2.35	16.4	15.2	1.26
Chris Webber	90	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-6	9	12.9	16.0	-3.11	16.5	11.9	4.62
Shavlik Randolph	42	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	10	-23	14.2	12.4	1.85	14.7	17.0	-2.27
Allen Iverson	93	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	2	-7	13.0	16.0	-3.01	16.0	17.6	-1.60
John Salmons	47	47	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.48	-13	10	-23	13.5	12.9	0.65	15.3	16.8	-1.47

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salim Stoudamire	39	40	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-11	25	15.1	16.7	-1.67	14.1	12.6	1.52
Josh Smith	52	52	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.59	1	2	-1	16.2	16.0	0.15	13.2	13.1	0.16
Joe Johnson	93	95	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-4	11	16.1	16.4	-0.34	13.4	7.5	5.91
Zaza Pachulia	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	1	1	16.5	14.7	1.87	12.7	15.0	-2.29
Al Harrington	72	73	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.54	-10	13	-23	16.2	15.7	0.58	12.7	14.4	-1.64
Josh Childress	41	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	-4	11	15.5	16.5	-0.94	13.3	13.1	0.14
John Thomas	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	0	3	14.4	16.3	-1.87	15.6	12.9	2.70
Marvin Williams	50	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	15.6	16.5	-0.90	13.5	12.8	0.66
Royal Ivey	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	6	-9	18.9	15.6	3.32	14.0	13.0	0.96
Tyronn Lue	44	45	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.11	-7	10	-17	16.4	15.8	0.59	12.1	14.1	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.29,0.46,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 80, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.53,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	92.9%
LAC 106, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	91.5%
NOH 91, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.91,1	91.1%