NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	7.5 [327]		MVP	Derek Harper (DAL): +34.1%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	8.9 [37]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -18.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	28	52%	0.10	3	-0.06	13	77%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	13	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	-0.00	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	10	32%	-0.08	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.34	0.34	0.14	0.20	-0.00	12	81%	0.41	2	-0.06	12	75%	0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	89%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	0.00	9	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
A.C. Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	10	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	17	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.04
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	13	41%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	24.2	15.8	26.3	2.4	40.4	136.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +60.1%

DAL +11.1%

UTA -19.3%

UTA -3.5%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	107.8	111.1	104.4
season	15.6	15.9		110.8	99.1
opponent	15.7	16.0		105.5	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	15.0	14.5	19.4	16.2
DAL	16.0	15.0	17.5	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	19	19	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.17	2	-5	7	13.8	16.8	-2.93	17.7	15.3	2.40
Adam Keefe	24	24	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-11	19	15.0	16.6	-1.52	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Greg Foster	13	14	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-6	9	14.0	16.5	-2.52	17.9	15.5	2.38
Stephen Howard	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-3	3	16.9	15.8	1.14	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Karl Malone	70	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-6	9	15.8	17.3	-1.54	16.1	15.1	0.96
Jeff Hornacek	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-1	-1	15.7	17.0	-1.26	16.6	14.5	2.05
Bryon Russell	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	2	-7	16.4	15.5	0.88	16.3	14.7	1.61
Antoine Carr	12	12	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	2	-7	15.6	16.2	-0.66	16.1	15.8	0.28
Shandon Anderson	35	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	1	-5	16.6	15.9	0.77	13.6	17.3	-3.68
Greg Ostertag	52	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	7	-17	17.2	14.7	2.55	16.2	15.4	0.86
John Stockton	71	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.58	-5	2	-7	16.8	13.8	2.93	15.3	17.7	-2.40

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	41	41	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.56	8	-5	13	15.0	16.6	-1.60	16.8	15.7	1.10
Derek Harper	82	82	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	15.6	18.0	-2.37	16.2	15.2	0.99
Eric Montross	77	75	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-9	21	16.0	14.7	1.35	16.5	14.5	1.95
Chris Gatling	73	76	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	16.0	15.2	0.75	16.3	15.3	1.03
Michael Finley	49	51	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	4	-5	15.1	16.7	-1.63	16.1	16.2	-0.04
A.C. Green	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	1	1	19.2	15.6	3.56	13.6	16.3	-2.71
Oliver Miller	12	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	11	-19	15.7	15.9	-0.11	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Jamal Mashburn	52	51	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.12	-5	8	-13	16.4	15.1	1.23	15.7	16.8	-1.08
Jim Jackson	58	56	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	14	-25	16.2	15.3	0.87	15.7	16.9	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 85, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.33,0.53,0.85,1,1,1	92.0%
BOS 100, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	92.0%
SAS 111, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.8,0.93,0.9,0.9,1	91.7%