NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	12.2 [11]		MVP	Mario Elie (SAS): +12.0%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	7.8 [234]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -37.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	3	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.2,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	15	58%	0.23	3	-0.20	3	100%	0.05
Mark West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.09	-0.01	18	63%	0.19	3	-0.20	5	80%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	12	42%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	7	35%	-0.16	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.12,-0.22,-0.17,-0.12,-0.23,-0.38	-0.23	-0.17	-0.02	26	28%	-0.13	3	-0.25	2	100%	0.05

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	7	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	42%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	0.02	-0.03	17	46%	0.10	5	-0.21	12	75%	-0.06
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	15	64%	0.05	6	-0.21	9	78%	-0.04
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	-0.00	7	25%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.34	-0.34	-0.11	-0.23	-0.00	15	37%	-0.29	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.2	1.7	26.0	17.8	25.0	2.7	38.3	2.4	18.5	161.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -33.0%

SAS +25.2%

SAS +32.5%

SAS +18.4%

SAS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.2	86.5	88.3	101.7
season	14.8	15.5		101.4	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.3		95.9	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.6	15.3	14.2	16.6	12.3	15.1
SAS	14.4	14.1	17.9	16.1	16.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toby Bailey	44	41	0.74	-1.24	1.98	0.45	10	-11	21	13.6	16.2	-2.58	14.5	16.3	-1.85
Rex Chapman	86	85	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.46	10	-11	21	15.2	14.9	0.22	15.9	14.0	1.94
Rodney Rogers	81	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	0	-1	15.6	13.3	2.28	15.7	15.3	0.36
Randy Livingston	15	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	10	-21	14.4	15.2	-0.85	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Todd Day	23	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	6	-13	13.2	15.7	-2.51	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Jason Kidd	98	97	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-5	9	15.2	14.5	0.66	15.8	12.0	3.82
Clifford Robinson	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-1	1	15.6	13.9	1.75	16.1	14.2	1.95
Oliver Miller	71	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.55	0	-1	1	15.5	14.4	1.07	15.7	15.5	0.17
Mark West	27	26	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.59	-10	9	-19	15.6	15.0	0.63	15.1	15.8	-0.70

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	50	49	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.57	12	-11	23	15.2	15.9	-0.70	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Mario Elie	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.60	-2	3	-5	16.5	13.8	2.71	14.7	16.0	-1.34
David Robinson	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	3	-5	16.5	12.0	4.41	15.3	14.5	0.75
Tim Duncan	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.55	-4	5	-9	16.0	14.3	1.65	14.9	15.8	-0.84
Avery Johnson	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.54	-6	7	-13	16.1	14.4	1.70	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Malik Rose	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	-5	11	13.9	16.3	-2.38	15.4	15.0	0.45
Samaki Walker	13	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	11.8	16.2	-4.39	14.6	15.2	-0.56
Jaren Jackson	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.17	7	-6	13	13.1	17.2	-4.10	15.6	14.8	0.85
Jerome Kersey	37	38	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.16	6	-5	11	14.1	16.4	-2.33	16.2	14.5	1.71
Chucky Brown	40	41	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	15	-29	17.5	14.4	3.10	15.3	15.0	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.26,1	90.2%
MEM 97, NOK 100	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.45,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.42,1	88.7%
DAL 118, MIA 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.4,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.57,0.69,0.42,1	88.0%