inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 106 Excitement9.9 [63] MVPBrandon Roy (POR): +38.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 107 Comeback100.0 [22] LVPRaymond Felton (DEN): -23.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.340,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.49,0.340.060.27-0.011753%0.3400.00250%-0.01
Nene0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.190.070.130.01657%0.1900.00967%-0.00
Wilson Chandler0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.01-0.001661%0.164-0.141100%0.01
Al Harrington0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.03-0.00540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00844%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Danilo Gallinari-0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,-0.040.16-0.200.011467%-0.001-0.041788%0.05
Ty Lawson-0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.08-0.14-0.00833%-0.082-0.132100%0.02
Raymond Felton-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23-0.10-0.16-0.041227%-0.081-0.15250%-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.390.390.090.28-0.011460%0.3900.002100%0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.250.250.040.20-0.002052%0.281-0.046100%0.12
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.010.11-0.011550%0.161-0.03250%-0.09
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.10.100.050.070.021260%0.162-0.06667%0.02
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00383%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Armon Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01942%-0.004-0.0810%-0.03
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.02-0.130.001747%-0.091-0.024100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.32.629.217.826.02.836.01.618.1162.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +33.3%
POR +4.9%
DEN -22.2%
POR +21.2%
POR +12.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game14.116.215.5101.0101.9105.7
season14.316.5110.7106.7
opponent15.715.5105.6106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.516.511.313.817.014.1
POR16.514.820.013.916.316.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen11130.15-0.650.80-0.067-81517.013.73.2714.516.4-1.91
J.R. Smith40380.07-0.570.640.10-10-113.814.2-0.4514.917.0-2.10
Ty Lawson68680.07-0.570.640.041-2313.714.8-1.0916.815.21.58
Al Harrington3133-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-32-513.414.4-0.9314.616.9-2.34
Arron Afflalo7574-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.494-5914.213.80.4316.715.01.76
Wilson Chandler7272-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.33-32-514.213.70.5516.914.62.34
Nene7977-0.550.05-0.61-0.41-54-914.113.90.2516.714.91.80
Danilo Gallinari8182-0.670.17-0.84-0.670-1113.715.2-1.5216.614.71.94
Raymond Felton6868-0.670.17-0.84-0.53-54-914.513.41.1215.118.2-3.14

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Roy49480.75-0.251.010.586-51115.416.9-1.4614.813.51.36
Andre Miller83840.65-0.150.790.476-51116.216.10.0914.213.80.39
LaMarcus Aldridge1001010.56-0.060.620.454-3716.313.62.7414.017.0-3.04
Rudy Fernandez89890.490.010.490.384-3716.315.90.3914.114.2-0.13
Wesley Matthews991000.370.130.250.46-34-716.314.31.9913.722.0-8.32
Nicolas Batum72710.010.49-0.490.0101-116.615.41.1514.513.31.20
Armon Johnson21-0.010.51-0.520.05-23-59.016.3-7.3522.014.08.00
Luke Babbitt1415-0.120.62-0.75-0.01-45-914.616.5-1.8112.714.3-1.64
Patty Mills1716-0.200.70-0.91-0.03-67-1317.216.01.2213.914.1-0.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 90, SAS 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.27,190.2%
PHX 117, UTA 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.58,187.8%
DAL 118, MIA 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.4,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.57,0.69,0.42,187.7%