NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	8.5 [177]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +27.2%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	6.1 [224]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -19.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	4	83%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	76%	0.17	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	13	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.05	0.04	15	61%	0.11	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.11
Bobby Phills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	10	42%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Baron Davis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	12	29%	-0.18	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.02	0.23	-0.02	25	54%	0.32	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	10	45%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.05	-0.01	19	67%	0.14	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.03
John Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	3	62%	0.08	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	38%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	31.5	15.8	28.0	2.7	37.7	1.0	21.8	167.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.2%

CHH -18.5%

NYK +32.3%

CHH -6.0%

NYK +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	16.4	15.2	105.8	107.7	101.7
season	14.9	16.1		101.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	14.0	12.9	14.1	16.6	13.9	14.3
NYK	18.0	15.9	16.5	16.1	14.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	88	88	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-10	17	14.6	12.8	1.77	17.0	13.4	3.58
Brad Miller	40	39	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-4	5	12.7	15.3	-2.59	17.1	16.0	1.16
Eddie Robinson	35	33	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-5	7	12.3	15.3	-3.02	15.6	16.8	-1.12
Baron Davis	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	14.3	14.3	-0.02	18.4	15.7	2.76
David Wesley	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-5	7	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.6	18.3	-2.76
Elden Campbell	60	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-5	7	14.2	14.5	-0.34	16.8	15.7	1.06
Eddie Jones	88	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	2	-7	14.9	11.1	3.80	15.6	20.6	-4.91
Derrick Coleman	59	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	2	-7	15.3	13.0	2.25	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Bobby Phills	47	48	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	13	-29	14.9	13.8	1.07	16.7	16.1	0.64

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	74	73	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.51	9	-6	15	16.3	16.8	-0.51	14.7	13.4	1.28
Latrell Sprewell	96	94	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-6	15	16.0	21.1	-5.11	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Marcus Camby	63	62	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	17.1	15.4	1.71	15.0	13.3	1.73
Allan Houston	92	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	1	1	16.0	19.5	-3.50	14.5	13.2	1.32
Charlie Ward	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-8	19	15.2	17.8	-2.60	13.8	14.9	-1.11
Chris Dudley	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	19.5	15.6	3.93	12.5	14.8	-2.30
John Wallace	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	11.5	16.5	-5.00	10.0	14.4	-4.40
Larry Johnson	78	77	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.25	-16	19	-35	17.3	13.7	3.56	14.0	15.2	-1.13
Kurt Thomas	36	37	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.14	-8	11	-19	15.9	16.7	-0.75	14.7	14.1	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.6,0.82,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, LAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.95,0.96,1	88.7%
WAS 130, MIN 135	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.41,0.51,0.27,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.79,0.76,0.91,1	87.4%
LAL 109, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.95,1	87.3%