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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 130 Excitement12.0 [25] MVPBradley Beal (WAS): +50.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves 135 Comeback4.1 [591] LVPJeff Teague (MIN): -33.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0.510,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.6,0.6,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.510.100.410.012559%0.673-0.171173%-0.03
Trevor Ariza0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.24-0.020.041390%0.311-0.124100%0.02
Thomas Bryant0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.01750%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jabari Parker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.010.03-0.02-0.00983%0.175-0.1600%0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.03947%-0.012-0.021100%0.00
Troy Brown Jr.-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Sam Dekker-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01325%-0.031-0.0220%-0.06
Bobby Portis-0.220,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.220.03-0.240.021858%-0.013-0.2100%0.00
Jeff Green-0.320,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32-0.10-0.220.001236%-0.123-0.20475%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.460.460.300.190.042474%0.471-0.016100%0.04
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.13,0.20.200.080.12-0.002358%0.272-0.07475%0.01
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.10.100.060.04-0.001158%0.1000.00475%0.01
Dario Saric0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.011065%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.080.080.010.060.00458%0.111-0.034100%0.07
Josh Okogie0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.03530%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.03-0.00533%-0.041-0.042100%0.01
Cameron Reynolds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.00-0.100.00642%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Keita Bates-Diop0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16-0.16-0.01-0.130.021246%-0.141-0.02250%-0.02
Jeff Teague0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.28,-0.34,-0.33-0.33-0.13-0.180.021423%-0.301-0.032100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.52.424.514.526.42.337.12.518.4154.7
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS -57.9%
MIN +7.7%
MIN +23.6%
MIN +67.5%
MIN +9.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMINNBAWASMINNBA
this game12.614.314.3110.2114.4109.3
season13.814.4109.8110.2
opponent14.014.3111.8112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS12.214.612.013.58.612.6
MIN13.012.215.814.818.614.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thomas Bryant36350.36-0.861.220.42-2-3113.312.30.9613.214.8-1.62
Bobby Portis6869-0.17-0.330.16-0.263-81112.612.7-0.1113.914.9-1.00
Sam Dekker3129-0.17-0.330.160.12-105-1515.811.54.2612.514.9-2.38
Troy Brown Jr.2726-0.19-0.310.120.13-116-1716.011.64.4111.615.1-3.51
Trevor Ariza9294-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.455-101511.716.0-4.3214.912.02.90
Bradley Beal102102-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.403-81111.917.5-5.6314.612.22.46
Jabari Parker5960-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.09-105-1513.212.11.1414.014.6-0.57
Tomas Satoransky9189-0.570.07-0.65-0.43-50-512.612.7-0.0914.912.62.24
Jeff Green8486-0.750.25-1.00-0.812-7911.714.9-3.1615.112.13.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl-Anthony Towns82810.58-0.080.670.5514-314.414.10.2913.011.91.12
Anthony Tolliver52560.55-0.050.590.1115-102515.213.61.5712.912.40.52
Derrick Rose68700.450.050.400.1610-51514.014.7-0.7112.213.3-1.18
Keita Bates-Diop83810.430.070.360.3723-114.513.90.6111.914.2-2.30
Jeff Teague77760.280.220.060.52-813-2115.112.92.2411.814.1-2.30
Tyus Jones42420.230.27-0.04-0.1814-92313.115.0-1.8514.111.82.30
Cameron Reynolds42430.150.35-0.200.0632114.314.30.0314.511.52.99
Taj Gibson57550.070.43-0.36-0.0850513.814.8-1.0812.312.9-0.65
Josh Okogie4242-0.060.56-0.610.09-510-1514.214.4-0.1912.912.50.38
Dario Saric4544-0.190.69-0.870.17-1217-2913.814.6-0.7612.113.0-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.41,0.51,0.27,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.79,0.76,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 105, ORL 1100.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.91,190.2%
PHI 97, LAC 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.45,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.43,0.77,189.5%
NYK 97, NOH 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.66,0.91,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,189.5%